Claire Valdez secured a decisive victory in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District, finishing with roughly 58 percent of the vote against Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso’s 32.5 percent and lower shares for other challengers. Strong fundraising, progressive endorsements including from Zohran Mamdani, and a union-organizer profile aligned with district priorities helped consolidate support in North Brooklyn and Western Queens. Trader consensus at 98.5 percent for a margin exceeding 15 points reflects these confirmed results and typical primary turnout patterns. Late certification delays, unexpected recounts, or disputes over vote tabulation in specific precincts represent the limited scenarios that could still alter final certified margins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-07 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
NY-07 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Valdez 15%+ 98.5%
Valdez 10–15% 3.8%
Valdez 5–10% <1%
Valdez <5% <1%
$40,371 Vol.
$40,371 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
Valdez 15%+
99%
Valdez 10–15%
4%
Valdez 5–10%
<1%
Valdez <5%
<1%
Valdez 15%+ 98.5%
Valdez 10–15% 3.8%
Valdez 5–10% <1%
Valdez <5% <1%
$40,371 Vol.
$40,371 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
Valdez 15%+
$7,078 Vol.
99%
Valdez 10–15%
$7,800 Vol.
4%
Valdez 5–10%
$5,715 Vol.
<1%
Valdez <5%
$6,184 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Claire Valdez secured a decisive victory in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District, finishing with roughly 58 percent of the vote against Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso’s 32.5 percent and lower shares for other challengers. Strong fundraising, progressive endorsements including from Zohran Mamdani, and a union-organizer profile aligned with district priorities helped consolidate support in North Brooklyn and Western Queens. Trader consensus at 98.5 percent for a margin exceeding 15 points reflects these confirmed results and typical primary turnout patterns. Late certification delays, unexpected recounts, or disputes over vote tabulation in specific precincts represent the limited scenarios that could still alter final certified margins.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Market Opened: Jun 18, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volume
$40,371End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 18, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Claire Valdez secured a decisive victory in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District, finishing with roughly 58 percent of the vote against Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso’s 32.5 percent and lower shares for other challengers. Strong fundraising, progressive endorsements including from Zohran Mamdani, and a union-organizer profile aligned with district priorities helped consolidate support in North Brooklyn and Western Queens. Trader consensus at 98.5 percent for a margin exceeding 15 points reflects these confirmed results and typical primary turnout patterns. Late certification delays, unexpected recounts, or disputes over vote tabulation in specific precincts represent the limited scenarios that could still alter final certified margins.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$40,371End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 18, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Claire Valdez secured a decisive victory in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District, finishing with roughly 58 percent of the vote against Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso’s 32.5 percent and lower shares for other challengers. Strong fundraising, progressive endorsements including from Zohran Mamdani, and a union-organizer profile aligned with district priorities helped consolidate support in North Brooklyn and Western Queens. Trader consensus at 98.5 percent for a margin exceeding 15 points reflects these confirmed results and typical primary turnout patterns. Late certification delays, unexpected recounts, or disputes over vote tabulation in specific precincts represent the limited scenarios that could still alter final certified margins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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