Amy Klobuchar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote after Governor Tim Walz opted not to seek re-election, positioning the longtime U.S. senator as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee Lisa Demuth. Demuth, the Minnesota House speaker, prevailed in her party's primary over Trump-endorsed rival Mike Lindell but enters the November 3 general election with far lower statewide name recognition and in a state where Democrats hold structural advantages in voter registration and recent statewide results. Traders assign Klobuchar a 94.5 percent implied probability, reflecting her extensive experience, established donor networks, and the absence of recent developments that have narrowed the contest. Scenarios that could still shift the race include major late-campaign events, significant polling swings in battleground areas, or unexpected national political developments that alter turnout or candidate messaging before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$69,101 Vol.
$69,101 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Amy Klobuchar (D)
95%
Lisa Demuth (R)
5%
$69,101 Vol.
$69,101 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Amy Klobuchar (D)
$32,198 Vol.
95%
Lisa Demuth (R)
$36,903 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Amy Klobuchar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote after Governor Tim Walz opted not to seek re-election, positioning the longtime U.S. senator as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee Lisa Demuth. Demuth, the Minnesota House speaker, prevailed in her party's primary over Trump-endorsed rival Mike Lindell but enters the November 3 general election with far lower statewide name recognition and in a state where Democrats hold structural advantages in voter registration and recent statewide results. Traders assign Klobuchar a 94.5 percent implied probability, reflecting her extensive experience, established donor networks, and the absence of recent developments that have narrowed the contest. Scenarios that could still shift the race include major late-campaign events, significant polling swings in battleground areas, or unexpected national political developments that alter turnout or candidate messaging before election day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$69,101End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Amy Klobuchar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote after Governor Tim Walz opted not to seek re-election, positioning the longtime U.S. senator as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee Lisa Demuth. Demuth, the Minnesota House speaker, prevailed in her party's primary over Trump-endorsed rival Mike Lindell but enters the November 3 general election with far lower statewide name recognition and in a state where Democrats hold structural advantages in voter registration and recent statewide results. Traders assign Klobuchar a 94.5 percent implied probability, reflecting her extensive experience, established donor networks, and the absence of recent developments that have narrowed the contest. Scenarios that could still shift the race include major late-campaign events, significant polling swings in battleground areas, or unexpected national political developments that alter turnout or candidate messaging before election day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$69,101End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Amy Klobuchar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote after Governor Tim Walz opted not to seek re-election, positioning the longtime U.S. senator as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee Lisa Demuth. Demuth, the Minnesota House speaker, prevailed in her party's primary over Trump-endorsed rival Mike Lindell but enters the November 3 general election with far lower statewide name recognition and in a state where Democrats hold structural advantages in voter registration and recent statewide results. Traders assign Klobuchar a 94.5 percent implied probability, reflecting her extensive experience, established donor networks, and the absence of recent developments that have narrowed the contest. Scenarios that could still shift the race include major late-campaign events, significant polling swings in battleground areas, or unexpected national political developments that alter turnout or candidate messaging before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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