Recent polling from INSA and Infratest dimap through mid-August 2026 shows AfD leading at 35-36 percent and SPD at 28-29 percent ahead of the September 20 Landtag election, with Die Linke holding steady at 11-12 percent and CDU at 9-10 percent. This consistent gap positions Linke as the frontrunner for third place in trader assessments, reflecting its established eastern voter base and limited volatility. The CDU’s lower support stems from ongoing weakness in the state, while smaller parties such as BSW, Grüne, and FDP remain below or near the 5 percent threshold with little momentum to challenge the middle order. No major campaign events or shifts have altered these relative standings in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLinke 67%
CDU 32%
SPD <1%
FDP <1%
$12,512 Vol.
$12,512 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
Linke
67%
CDU
32%
SPD
<1%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
Grüne
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD
<1%
Linke 67%
CDU 32%
SPD <1%
FDP <1%
$12,512 Vol.
$12,512 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
Linke
$5,967 Vol.
67%
CDU
$2,742 Vol.
32%
SPD
$550 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$632 Vol.
<1%
FW
$659 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$611 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$788 Vol.
<1%
AfD
$563 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling from INSA and Infratest dimap through mid-August 2026 shows AfD leading at 35-36 percent and SPD at 28-29 percent ahead of the September 20 Landtag election, with Die Linke holding steady at 11-12 percent and CDU at 9-10 percent. This consistent gap positions Linke as the frontrunner for third place in trader assessments, reflecting its established eastern voter base and limited volatility. The CDU’s lower support stems from ongoing weakness in the state, while smaller parties such as BSW, Grüne, and FDP remain below or near the 5 percent threshold with little momentum to challenge the middle order. No major campaign events or shifts have altered these relative standings in recent weeks.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$12,512End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling from INSA and Infratest dimap through mid-August 2026 shows AfD leading at 35-36 percent and SPD at 28-29 percent ahead of the September 20 Landtag election, with Die Linke holding steady at 11-12 percent and CDU at 9-10 percent. This consistent gap positions Linke as the frontrunner for third place in trader assessments, reflecting its established eastern voter base and limited volatility. The CDU’s lower support stems from ongoing weakness in the state, while smaller parties such as BSW, Grüne, and FDP remain below or near the 5 percent threshold with little momentum to challenge the middle order. No major campaign events or shifts have altered these relative standings in recent weeks.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$12,512End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from INSA and Infratest dimap through mid-August 2026 shows AfD leading at 35-36 percent and SPD at 28-29 percent ahead of the September 20 Landtag election, with Die Linke holding steady at 11-12 percent and CDU at 9-10 percent. This consistent gap positions Linke as the frontrunner for third place in trader assessments, reflecting its established eastern voter base and limited volatility. The CDU’s lower support stems from ongoing weakness in the state, while smaller parties such as BSW, Grüne, and FDP remain below or near the 5 percent threshold with little momentum to challenge the middle order. No major campaign events or shifts have altered these relative standings in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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