Maryland’s 6th congressional district, anchored in western Maryland counties with suburban extensions into Montgomery County, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 that has produced consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative April McClain Delaney, first elected in 2024, benefits from name recognition and early polling leads in the June 23 Democratic primary against challenger David Trone and others. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan composition and modest historical swing potential. Republican primary contenders face structural headwinds in a district where Democrats have held the seat since 2012. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Democratic nominee therefore tracks the district’s electoral fundamentals, though an unusually large national midterm shift or late primary upset could narrow the gap before November 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMD-06 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
MD-06 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$15,233 Vol.
$15,233 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
91%
Partido Republicano
8%
$15,233 Vol.
$15,233 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$5,221 Vol.
91%
Partido Republicano
$10,012 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 6th congressional district, anchored in western Maryland counties with suburban extensions into Montgomery County, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 that has produced consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative April McClain Delaney, first elected in 2024, benefits from name recognition and early polling leads in the June 23 Democratic primary against challenger David Trone and others. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan composition and modest historical swing potential. Republican primary contenders face structural headwinds in a district where Democrats have held the seat since 2012. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Democratic nominee therefore tracks the district’s electoral fundamentals, though an unusually large national midterm shift or late primary upset could narrow the gap before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$15,233Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 6th congressional district, anchored in western Maryland counties with suburban extensions into Montgomery County, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 that has produced consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative April McClain Delaney, first elected in 2024, benefits from name recognition and early polling leads in the June 23 Democratic primary against challenger David Trone and others. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan composition and modest historical swing potential. Republican primary contenders face structural headwinds in a district where Democrats have held the seat since 2012. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Democratic nominee therefore tracks the district’s electoral fundamentals, though an unusually large national midterm shift or late primary upset could narrow the gap before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,233Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 6th congressional district, anchored in western Maryland counties with suburban extensions into Montgomery County, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 that has produced consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative April McClain Delaney, first elected in 2024, benefits from name recognition and early polling leads in the June 23 Democratic primary against challenger David Trone and others. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan composition and modest historical swing potential. Republican primary contenders face structural headwinds in a district where Democrats have held the seat since 2012. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Democratic nominee therefore tracks the district’s electoral fundamentals, though an unusually large national midterm shift or late primary upset could narrow the gap before November 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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