**Latest forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C in the Seoul-Incheon area overnight on September 10, 2026.** Clear to mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 3–6 m/s, and dew points around 10–14°C support efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23–25°C. This aligns with climatological September minimums near 17–18°C and places the outcome well above thresholds for cooler bins. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance and real-time observations. A shift to persistent low cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could limit cooling and push the low toward 15–16°C, though current model agreement makes such deviation unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 10?
17°C 97%
16°C 2%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$15,097 Vol.
$15,097 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
97%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 97%
16°C 2%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$15,097 Vol.
$15,097 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
11°C or below
$142 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,182 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$346 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,020 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,352 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,457 Vol.
2%
17°C
$4,329 Vol.
97%
18°C
$2,020 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$695 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$265 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$290 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C in the Seoul-Incheon area overnight on September 10, 2026.** Clear to mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 3–6 m/s, and dew points around 10–14°C support efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23–25°C. This aligns with climatological September minimums near 17–18°C and places the outcome well above thresholds for cooler bins. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance and real-time observations. A shift to persistent low cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could limit cooling and push the low toward 15–16°C, though current model agreement makes such deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$15,097End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C in the Seoul-Incheon area overnight on September 10, 2026.** Clear to mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 3–6 m/s, and dew points around 10–14°C support efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23–25°C. This aligns with climatological September minimums near 17–18°C and places the outcome well above thresholds for cooler bins. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance and real-time observations. A shift to persistent low cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could limit cooling and push the low toward 15–16°C, though current model agreement makes such deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,097End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C in the Seoul-Incheon area overnight on September 10, 2026.** Clear to mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 3–6 m/s, and dew points around 10–14°C support efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23–25°C. This aligns with climatological September minimums near 17–18°C and places the outcome well above thresholds for cooler bins. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance and real-time observations. A shift to persistent low cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could limit cooling and push the low toward 15–16°C, though current model agreement makes such deviation unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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