Current forecast models from NOAA and NHC point to typical late-July subtropical conditions driving Miami's overnight low into the upper 70s or low 80s, with trader consensus clustered around 78–81°F reflecting this baseline. High sea-surface temperatures near 85°F limit radiational cooling overnight, while elevated dew points and humidity sustain warmth; scattered afternoon thunderstorms may increase cloud cover that traps heat or allow brief clear periods for modest drops. Light steering winds and absence of tropical systems or cold fronts keep variability low, though model runs differ slightly on exact cloud timing and wind speed, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°F. Updated NWS guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution near these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on July 29?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 29?
78-79°F 29%
80-81°F 23%
76-77°F 18%
74-75°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Jul 29, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 29%
80-81°F 23%
76-77°F 18%
74-75°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Jul 29, 2026
69°F or below
$32 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$43 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$22 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$14 Vol.
12%
76-77°F
$8 Vol.
18%
78-79°F
$14 Vol.
29%
80-81°F
$605 Vol.
23%
82-83°F
$144 Vol.
12%
84-85°F
$73 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
1%
88°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and NHC point to typical late-July subtropical conditions driving Miami's overnight low into the upper 70s or low 80s, with trader consensus clustered around 78–81°F reflecting this baseline. High sea-surface temperatures near 85°F limit radiational cooling overnight, while elevated dew points and humidity sustain warmth; scattered afternoon thunderstorms may increase cloud cover that traps heat or allow brief clear periods for modest drops. Light steering winds and absence of tropical systems or cold fronts keep variability low, though model runs differ slightly on exact cloud timing and wind speed, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°F. Updated NWS guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution near these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 27, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Volume
$746End Date
Jul 29, 2026Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 8:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and NHC point to typical late-July subtropical conditions driving Miami's overnight low into the upper 70s or low 80s, with trader consensus clustered around 78–81°F reflecting this baseline. High sea-surface temperatures near 85°F limit radiational cooling overnight, while elevated dew points and humidity sustain warmth; scattered afternoon thunderstorms may increase cloud cover that traps heat or allow brief clear periods for modest drops. Light steering winds and absence of tropical systems or cold fronts keep variability low, though model runs differ slightly on exact cloud timing and wind speed, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°F. Updated NWS guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution near these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$746End Date
Jul 29, 2026Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 8:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from NOAA and NHC point to typical late-July subtropical conditions driving Miami's overnight low into the upper 70s or low 80s, with trader consensus clustered around 78–81°F reflecting this baseline. High sea-surface temperatures near 85°F limit radiational cooling overnight, while elevated dew points and humidity sustain warmth; scattered afternoon thunderstorms may increase cloud cover that traps heat or allow brief clear periods for modest drops. Light steering winds and absence of tropical systems or cold fronts keep variability low, though model runs differ slightly on exact cloud timing and wind speed, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°F. Updated NWS guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution near these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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