Current short-range model guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a peak temperature near 30–33°C in Qingdao on July 30, driven by moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity limit extreme surface heating compared with inland Shandong sites, keeping most deterministic runs below 34°C while ensemble spread still admits a modest chance of 35°C or higher if afternoon insolation increases or onshore winds weaken. With the market’s leading probabilities clustered tightly between 33°C and 35°C, traders are pricing the residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute adjustments to the subtropical ridge position ahead of the July 30 observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 30?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 30?
34°C 28%
33°C 27%
35°C 25%
37°C or higher 21%
NEW
NEW
Jul 30, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
14%
33°C
27%
34°C
28%
35°C
25%
36°C
12%
37°C or higher
21%
34°C 28%
33°C 27%
35°C 25%
37°C or higher 21%
NEW
NEW
Jul 30, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
14%
33°C
$0 Vol.
27%
34°C
$0 Vol.
28%
35°C
$0 Vol.
25%
36°C
$0 Vol.
12%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a peak temperature near 30–33°C in Qingdao on July 30, driven by moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity limit extreme surface heating compared with inland Shandong sites, keeping most deterministic runs below 34°C while ensemble spread still admits a modest chance of 35°C or higher if afternoon insolation increases or onshore winds weaken. With the market’s leading probabilities clustered tightly between 33°C and 35°C, traders are pricing the residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute adjustments to the subtropical ridge position ahead of the July 30 observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$5End Date
Jul 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a peak temperature near 30–33°C in Qingdao on July 30, driven by moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity limit extreme surface heating compared with inland Shandong sites, keeping most deterministic runs below 34°C while ensemble spread still admits a modest chance of 35°C or higher if afternoon insolation increases or onshore winds weaken. With the market’s leading probabilities clustered tightly between 33°C and 35°C, traders are pricing the residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute adjustments to the subtropical ridge position ahead of the July 30 observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5End Date
Jul 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a peak temperature near 30–33°C in Qingdao on July 30, driven by moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity limit extreme surface heating compared with inland Shandong sites, keeping most deterministic runs below 34°C while ensemble spread still admits a modest chance of 35°C or higher if afternoon insolation increases or onshore winds weaken. With the market’s leading probabilities clustered tightly between 33°C and 35°C, traders are pricing the residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute adjustments to the subtropical ridge position ahead of the July 30 observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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