Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows of 80–83°F in Miami on July 22 amid typical subtropical humidity, light southerly flow, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions suppress the usual nocturnal drop below 78°F that occurs with clearer, drier air masses. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet small timing differences in cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could shift the minimum across the 80–81°F versus 82–83°F thresholds. With no tropical systems or cold fronts approaching, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the upper-70s-to-low-80s range while discounting sub-76°F outcomes that would require atypical cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on July 22?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 22?
82-83°F 40%
80-81°F 29%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Jul 22, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 40%
80-81°F 29%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Jul 22, 2026
71°F or below
$47 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$171 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$687 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$32 Vol.
8%
78-79°F
$44 Vol.
16%
80-81°F
$2,436 Vol.
29%
82-83°F
$1,577 Vol.
40%
84-85°F
$93 Vol.
11%
86-87°F
$190 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$176 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$132 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows of 80–83°F in Miami on July 22 amid typical subtropical humidity, light southerly flow, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions suppress the usual nocturnal drop below 78°F that occurs with clearer, drier air masses. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet small timing differences in cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could shift the minimum across the 80–81°F versus 82–83°F thresholds. With no tropical systems or cold fronts approaching, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the upper-70s-to-low-80s range while discounting sub-76°F outcomes that would require atypical cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$5,584End Date
Jul 22, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows of 80–83°F in Miami on July 22 amid typical subtropical humidity, light southerly flow, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions suppress the usual nocturnal drop below 78°F that occurs with clearer, drier air masses. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet small timing differences in cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could shift the minimum across the 80–81°F versus 82–83°F thresholds. With no tropical systems or cold fronts approaching, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the upper-70s-to-low-80s range while discounting sub-76°F outcomes that would require atypical cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,584End Date
Jul 22, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows of 80–83°F in Miami on July 22 amid typical subtropical humidity, light southerly flow, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions suppress the usual nocturnal drop below 78°F that occurs with clearer, drier air masses. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet small timing differences in cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could shift the minimum across the 80–81°F versus 82–83°F thresholds. With no tropical systems or cold fronts approaching, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the upper-70s-to-low-80s range while discounting sub-76°F outcomes that would require atypical cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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