**Forecast models for Lucknow on September 11 point to a minimum temperature near 27°C amid generally cloudy skies, thundershowers, and high humidity, yet market odds remain closely split between a 32°C-or-higher low (43.5%) and 22°C-or-below (43.0%).** Persistent monsoon moisture, elevated dew points near 26–27°C, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover support the consensus range of 26–28°C, consistent with IMD guidance and ensemble outputs showing only modest day-to-day variability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical spread for early-September minima against the possibility of heavier overnight rain or clearer breaks that could shift the low by several degrees. Updated model runs and official minimum reports will resolve the outcome within hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 11?
22°C or below 86%
32°C or higher 86%
26°C 44%
24°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
22°C or below
86%
23°C
12%
24°C
39%
25°C
22%
26°C
25%
27°C
23%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
86%
22°C or below 86%
32°C or higher 86%
26°C 44%
24°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
86%
23°C
$0 Vol.
12%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$10 Vol.
25%
27°C
$0 Vol.
23%
28°C
$42 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C
$0 Vol.
39%
31°C
$0 Vol.
6%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Lucknow on September 11 point to a minimum temperature near 27°C amid generally cloudy skies, thundershowers, and high humidity, yet market odds remain closely split between a 32°C-or-higher low (43.5%) and 22°C-or-below (43.0%).** Persistent monsoon moisture, elevated dew points near 26–27°C, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover support the consensus range of 26–28°C, consistent with IMD guidance and ensemble outputs showing only modest day-to-day variability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical spread for early-September minima against the possibility of heavier overnight rain or clearer breaks that could shift the low by several degrees. Updated model runs and official minimum reports will resolve the outcome within hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$52End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Lucknow on September 11 point to a minimum temperature near 27°C amid generally cloudy skies, thundershowers, and high humidity, yet market odds remain closely split between a 32°C-or-higher low (43.5%) and 22°C-or-below (43.0%).** Persistent monsoon moisture, elevated dew points near 26–27°C, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover support the consensus range of 26–28°C, consistent with IMD guidance and ensemble outputs showing only modest day-to-day variability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical spread for early-September minima against the possibility of heavier overnight rain or clearer breaks that could shift the low by several degrees. Updated model runs and official minimum reports will resolve the outcome within hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Lucknow on September 11 point to a minimum temperature near 27°C amid generally cloudy skies, thundershowers, and high humidity, yet market odds remain closely split between a 32°C-or-higher low (43.5%) and 22°C-or-below (43.0%).** Persistent monsoon moisture, elevated dew points near 26–27°C, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover support the consensus range of 26–28°C, consistent with IMD guidance and ensemble outputs showing only modest day-to-day variability. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical spread for early-September minima against the possibility of heavier overnight rain or clearer breaks that could shift the low by several degrees. Updated model runs and official minimum reports will resolve the outcome within hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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