Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a Thursday low temperature in the mid-60s °F for coastal Los Angeles, driven by persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that promotes nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies after morning low clouds. This setup favors readings near 65–67 °F at representative stations such as LAX, with minor differences among outcomes hinging on the precise timing of fog dissipation, boundary-layer mixing, and localized wind shifts that can alter radiative cooling rates by 1–3 °F. Historical September climatology shows typical minima in this range, and the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 66–69 °F reflects traders weighing these small but measurable uncertainties in the final 48-hour forecast updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 17?
55°F or below 92%
74°F or higher 84%
68-69°F 54%
66-67°F 30%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
55°F or below
92%
56-57°F
23%
58-59°F
23%
60-61°F
23%
62-63°F
23%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
5%
74°F or higher
84%
55°F or below 92%
74°F or higher 84%
68-69°F 54%
66-67°F 30%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
55°F or below
$0 Vol.
92%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
23%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
23%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
23%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
23%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
24%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
30%
68-69°F
$47 Vol.
39%
70-71°F
$42 Vol.
14%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
5%
74°F or higher
$0 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a Thursday low temperature in the mid-60s °F for coastal Los Angeles, driven by persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that promotes nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies after morning low clouds. This setup favors readings near 65–67 °F at representative stations such as LAX, with minor differences among outcomes hinging on the precise timing of fog dissipation, boundary-layer mixing, and localized wind shifts that can alter radiative cooling rates by 1–3 °F. Historical September climatology shows typical minima in this range, and the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 66–69 °F reflects traders weighing these small but measurable uncertainties in the final 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$89End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a Thursday low temperature in the mid-60s °F for coastal Los Angeles, driven by persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that promotes nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies after morning low clouds. This setup favors readings near 65–67 °F at representative stations such as LAX, with minor differences among outcomes hinging on the precise timing of fog dissipation, boundary-layer mixing, and localized wind shifts that can alter radiative cooling rates by 1–3 °F. Historical September climatology shows typical minima in this range, and the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 66–69 °F reflects traders weighing these small but measurable uncertainties in the final 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$89End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a Thursday low temperature in the mid-60s °F for coastal Los Angeles, driven by persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that promotes nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies after morning low clouds. This setup favors readings near 65–67 °F at representative stations such as LAX, with minor differences among outcomes hinging on the precise timing of fog dissipation, boundary-layer mixing, and localized wind shifts that can alter radiative cooling rates by 1–3 °F. Historical September climatology shows typical minima in this range, and the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 66–69 °F reflects traders weighing these small but measurable uncertainties in the final 48-hour forecast updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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