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Politics·Krakao

Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Kraków Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Krakao

Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

Daria Gosek-Popiołek 32%

Jan Hoffman 32%

Łukasz Gibała 32%

Michał Drewnicki 32%

Polymarket
NEW

Daria Gosek-Popiołek 32%

Jan Hoffman 32%

Łukasz Gibała 32%

Michał Drewnicki 32%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Daria Gosek-Popiołek

Daria Gosek-Popiołek

$0 Vol.

32%

icon for Jan Hoffman

Jan Hoffman

$0 Vol.

32%

icon for Łukasz Gibała

Łukasz Gibała

$0 Vol.

32%

icon for Michał Drewnicki

Michał Drewnicki

$0 Vol.

32%

icon for Monika Piątkowska

Monika Piątkowska

$0 Vol.

32%

icon for Łukasz Wantuch

Łukasz Wantuch

$97 Vol.

27%

icon for Marianna Schreiber

Marianna Schreiber

$97 Vol.

27%

icon for Bartosz Bocheńczak

Bartosz Bocheńczak

$96 Vol.

27%

icon for Marian Banaś

Marian Banaś

$113 Vol.

24%

icon for Michał Klimek

Michał Klimek

$94 Vol.

22%

icon for Aleksandra Owca

Aleksandra Owca

$93 Vol.

22%

icon for Paweł Śliz

Paweł Śliz

$95 Vol.

22%

icon for Rafał Sonik

Rafał Sonik

$95 Vol.

22%

icon for Marta Ratuszyńska

Marta Ratuszyńska

$95 Vol.

22%

icon for Grażyna Zofia Świat

Grażyna Zofia Świat

$83 Vol.

22%

icon for Rafał Komarewicz

Rafał Komarewicz

$95 Vol.

27%

icon for Sławomir Pietrzyk

Sławomir Pietrzyk

$95 Vol.

22%

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.The 2026 Kraków mayoral election, scheduled for 27 September following the May recall referendum that removed prior Civic Coalition mayor Aleksander Miszalski, features a fragmented field of more than two dozen declared candidates from parties including KO, PiS, New Left, and independents. With no single contender exceeding low-30s implied probability and “Other” at 50%, trader consensus reflects the absence of a dominant frontrunner ahead of the first round and potential runoff. Recent candidate announcements and committee formations have not produced decisive polling separation, while historical patterns of Polish local races with high candidate counts and low name recognition sustain the tight positioning. Upcoming registration deadlines and early campaigning in August could begin to consolidate support around better-known figures.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$1,147
End Date
Sep 27, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.The 2026 Kraków mayoral election, scheduled for 27 September following the May recall referendum that removed prior Civic Coalition mayor Aleksander Miszalski, features a fragmented field of more than two dozen declared candidates from parties including KO, PiS, New Left, and independents. With no single contender exceeding low-30s implied probability and “Other” at 50%, trader consensus reflects the absence of a dominant frontrunner ahead of the first round and potential runoff. Recent candidate announcements and committee formations have not produced decisive polling separation, while historical patterns of Polish local races with high candidate counts and low name recognition sustain the tight positioning. Upcoming registration deadlines and early campaigning in August could begin to consolidate support around better-known figures.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$1,147
End Date
Sep 27, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Daria Gosek-Popiołek" at 33%, followed by "Jan Hoffman" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" is "Daria Gosek-Popiołek" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jan Hoffman" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.