Ty Masterson holds a dominant position in the August 4 Republican primary for Kansas governor, backed by institutional advantages including his role as Senate president and endorsements from President Donald Trump in late May plus the Kansans for Life PAC in early June. These factors have consolidated support among party voters in a crowded seven-candidate field that includes state officials like Vicki Schmidt and Scott Schwab, along with business-oriented challengers such as Stacy Rogers and Philip Sarnecki. The June 1 filing deadline confirmed the slate, but no other contender has matched Masterson’s organizational reach or national alignment. Recent debates have highlighted the gap, leaving the primary outcome heavily influenced by Masterson’s early consolidation of key Republican constituencies ahead of advance voting in July.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTy Masterson 84%
Philip Sarnecki 15.6%
Scott Schwab <1%
Vicki Schmidt <1%
$82,055 Vol.
$82,055 Vol.
Ty Masterson
84%
Philip Sarnecki
16%
Scott Schwab
<1%
Vicki Schmidt
<1%
Joy Eakins
<1%
Charlotte O’Hara
<1%
Jeff Colyer
<1%
Stacy Rogers
<1%
Ty Masterson 84%
Philip Sarnecki 15.6%
Scott Schwab <1%
Vicki Schmidt <1%
$82,055 Vol.
$82,055 Vol.
Ty Masterson
84%
Philip Sarnecki
16%
Scott Schwab
<1%
Vicki Schmidt
<1%
Joy Eakins
<1%
Charlotte O’Hara
<1%
Jeff Colyer
<1%
Stacy Rogers
<1%
If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 9, 2025, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ty Masterson holds a dominant position in the August 4 Republican primary for Kansas governor, backed by institutional advantages including his role as Senate president and endorsements from President Donald Trump in late May plus the Kansans for Life PAC in early June. These factors have consolidated support among party voters in a crowded seven-candidate field that includes state officials like Vicki Schmidt and Scott Schwab, along with business-oriented challengers such as Stacy Rogers and Philip Sarnecki. The June 1 filing deadline confirmed the slate, but no other contender has matched Masterson’s organizational reach or national alignment. Recent debates have highlighted the gap, leaving the primary outcome heavily influenced by Masterson’s early consolidation of key Republican constituencies ahead of advance voting in July.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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