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icon for June Inflation UK - Annual

June Inflation UK - Annual

icon for June Inflation UK - Annual

June Inflation UK - Annual

Jul 22

Jan 20, 2027

Jul 22

Jan 20, 2027

2.5-2.7% 93%

2.8-3% 6.0%

2.2-2.4% 5%

3.4%+ 3.1%

Polymarket

$15,521 Vol.

2.5-2.7% 93%

2.8-3% 6.0%

2.2-2.4% 5%

3.4%+ 3.1%

Polymarket

$15,521 Vol.

≤2.1%

$3,391 Vol.

1%

2.2-2.4%

$5,717 Vol.

5%

2.5-2.7%

$2,615 Vol.

93%

2.8-3%

$2,216 Vol.

6%

3.1-3.3%

$829 Vol.

1%

3.4%+

$753 Vol.

3%

This is a market about inflation in the United Kingdom over the 12-month period ending June 2026 as reported by the UK Office for National Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for June 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on July 22, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent May UK CPI data held steady at 2.8%, below expectations, with moderation in food, housing, and core components offset by transport-driven fuel price gains. Traders price June annual inflation in a tight contest between the 2.2-2.4% and 2.5-2.7% buckets at 50% each, reflecting uncertainty over whether energy cost pressures from Middle East supply risks and elevated motor fuel prices will lift the print or if continued disinflation in services and goods will keep it anchored near recent lows. The balanced odds highlight sensitivity to June-specific monthly changes amid Bank of England guidance on persistent above-target risks through year-end.

This is a market about inflation in the United Kingdom over the 12-month period ending June 2026 as reported by the UK Office for National Statistics.

This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report.

The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for June 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on July 22, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$15,521
End Date
Jul 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 7:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a market about inflation in the United Kingdom over the 12-month period ending June 2026 as reported by the UK Office for National Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for June 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on July 22, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This is a market about inflation in the United Kingdom over the 12-month period ending June 2026 as reported by the UK Office for National Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for June 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on July 22, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent May UK CPI data held steady at 2.8%, below expectations, with moderation in food, housing, and core components offset by transport-driven fuel price gains. Traders price June annual inflation in a tight contest between the 2.2-2.4% and 2.5-2.7% buckets at 50% each, reflecting uncertainty over whether energy cost pressures from Middle East supply risks and elevated motor fuel prices will lift the print or if continued disinflation in services and goods will keep it anchored near recent lows. The balanced odds highlight sensitivity to June-specific monthly changes amid Bank of England guidance on persistent above-target risks through year-end.

This is a market about inflation in the United Kingdom over the 12-month period ending June 2026 as reported by the UK Office for National Statistics.

This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report.

The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for June 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on July 22, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$15,521
End Date
Jul 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 7:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a market about inflation in the United Kingdom over the 12-month period ending June 2026 as reported by the UK Office for National Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for June 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on July 22, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"June Inflation UK - Annual" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2.5-2.7%" at 93%, followed by "2.8-3%" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "June Inflation UK - Annual" has generated $15.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "June Inflation UK - Annual," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "June Inflation UK - Annual" is "2.5-2.7%" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2.8-3%" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "June Inflation UK - Annual" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.