Recent polling averages place Shas at roughly 7–9 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, down from its current 11, reflecting pressure on Haredi parties from the military draft exemption debate and competition from new or consolidated right-wing lists. Trader prices remain clustered near even odds across 6–7, 8–9, 10–11, and 12+ ranges because smaller-party forecasts have historically shown volatility this close to election day, with turnout among Sephardi traditional voters and last-minute list finalization by September 9 still able to shift results. The party’s coalition alignment with Likud continues to anchor its base, yet broader bloc instability and potential vote splitting with Religious Zionist or new Haredi entrants sustain the tight distribution in market consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated6-7 41%
12+ 39%
<6 38%
8-9 38%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
38%
6-7
41%
8-9
38%
10-11
38%
12+
39%
6-7 41%
12+ 39%
<6 38%
8-9 38%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
$0 Vol.
38%
6-7
$0 Vol.
41%
8-9
$0 Vol.
38%
10-11
$0 Vol.
38%
12+
$0 Vol.
39%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Shas at roughly 7–9 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, down from its current 11, reflecting pressure on Haredi parties from the military draft exemption debate and competition from new or consolidated right-wing lists. Trader prices remain clustered near even odds across 6–7, 8–9, 10–11, and 12+ ranges because smaller-party forecasts have historically shown volatility this close to election day, with turnout among Sephardi traditional voters and last-minute list finalization by September 9 still able to shift results. The party’s coalition alignment with Likud continues to anchor its base, yet broader bloc instability and potential vote splitting with Religious Zionist or new Haredi entrants sustain the tight distribution in market consensus.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Shas at roughly 7–9 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, down from its current 11, reflecting pressure on Haredi parties from the military draft exemption debate and competition from new or consolidated right-wing lists. Trader prices remain clustered near even odds across 6–7, 8–9, 10–11, and 12+ ranges because smaller-party forecasts have historically shown volatility this close to election day, with turnout among Sephardi traditional voters and last-minute list finalization by September 9 still able to shift results. The party’s coalition alignment with Likud continues to anchor its base, yet broader bloc instability and potential vote splitting with Religious Zionist or new Haredi entrants sustain the tight distribution in market consensus.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Shas at roughly 7–9 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, down from its current 11, reflecting pressure on Haredi parties from the military draft exemption debate and competition from new or consolidated right-wing lists. Trader prices remain clustered near even odds across 6–7, 8–9, 10–11, and 12+ ranges because smaller-party forecasts have historically shown volatility this close to election day, with turnout among Sephardi traditional voters and last-minute list finalization by September 9 still able to shift results. The party’s coalition alignment with Likud continues to anchor its base, yet broader bloc instability and potential vote splitting with Religious Zionist or new Haredi entrants sustain the tight distribution in market consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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