Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows the RZP-Zehut technical bloc—formed September 1 when Bezalel Smotrich's Religious Zionist Party allied with Moshe Feiglin's Zehut—securing 5-7 seats in most surveys, enough to clear the 3.25% threshold after earlier standalone RZP figures hovered near or below it. Trader consensus remains evenly split across narrow seat ranges because Ofer Winter's competing right-wing list continues to siphon overlapping religious and settlement voters, while overall bloc performance hinges on turnout among nationalist and ultra-Orthodox supporters amid broader competition between Netanyahu-aligned parties and the opposition. Late shifts in right-wing consolidation or turnout could still alter the combined total before lists finalize on September 9.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated4-5 41%
6-7 41%
8-9 41%
<4 38%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<4
38%
4-5
41%
6-7
41%
8-9
41%
10+
38%
4-5 41%
6-7 41%
8-9 41%
<4 38%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<4
$0 Vol.
38%
4-5
$0 Vol.
41%
6-7
$0 Vol.
41%
8-9
$0 Vol.
41%
10+
$0 Vol.
38%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows the RZP-Zehut technical bloc—formed September 1 when Bezalel Smotrich's Religious Zionist Party allied with Moshe Feiglin's Zehut—securing 5-7 seats in most surveys, enough to clear the 3.25% threshold after earlier standalone RZP figures hovered near or below it. Trader consensus remains evenly split across narrow seat ranges because Ofer Winter's competing right-wing list continues to siphon overlapping religious and settlement voters, while overall bloc performance hinges on turnout among nationalist and ultra-Orthodox supporters amid broader competition between Netanyahu-aligned parties and the opposition. Late shifts in right-wing consolidation or turnout could still alter the combined total before lists finalize on September 9.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows the RZP-Zehut technical bloc—formed September 1 when Bezalel Smotrich's Religious Zionist Party allied with Moshe Feiglin's Zehut—securing 5-7 seats in most surveys, enough to clear the 3.25% threshold after earlier standalone RZP figures hovered near or below it. Trader consensus remains evenly split across narrow seat ranges because Ofer Winter's competing right-wing list continues to siphon overlapping religious and settlement voters, while overall bloc performance hinges on turnout among nationalist and ultra-Orthodox supporters amid broader competition between Netanyahu-aligned parties and the opposition. Late shifts in right-wing consolidation or turnout could still alter the combined total before lists finalize on September 9.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows the RZP-Zehut technical bloc—formed September 1 when Bezalel Smotrich's Religious Zionist Party allied with Moshe Feiglin's Zehut—securing 5-7 seats in most surveys, enough to clear the 3.25% threshold after earlier standalone RZP figures hovered near or below it. Trader consensus remains evenly split across narrow seat ranges because Ofer Winter's competing right-wing list continues to siphon overlapping religious and settlement voters, while overall bloc performance hinges on turnout among nationalist and ultra-Orthodox supporters amid broader competition between Netanyahu-aligned parties and the opposition. Late shifts in right-wing consolidation or turnout could still alter the combined total before lists finalize on September 9.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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