Current forecast models for San Francisco on July 22 favor a moderate marine layer with onshore flow from the cold California Current, limiting daytime heating and supporting highs clustered in the low-to-mid 70s. This pattern produces a strong temperature inversion that caps mixing and sustains coastal stratus or fog into the afternoon at many stations, while slight variations in layer depth, wind strength, or high-cloud cover can shift peak readings by a few degrees. Trader consensus around 74–75°F reflects typical July climatology near official sites like SFO, where historical averages hover near 68–72°F but occasional marine-layer retreat allows brief warming; model spread and measurement criteria create the tight distribution across adjacent bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on July 22?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 22?
72-73°F 33%
74-75°F 30%
70-71°F 15.6%
76-77°F 16%
NEW
$17,383 Vol.
NEW
$17,383 Vol.
Jul 22, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
33%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 33%
74-75°F 30%
70-71°F 15.6%
76-77°F 16%
NEW
$17,383 Vol.
NEW
$17,383 Vol.
Jul 22, 2026
65°F or below
$686 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$438 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$355 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$1,733 Vol.
16%
72-73°F
$636 Vol.
33%
74-75°F
$5,300 Vol.
30%
76-77°F
$2,247 Vol.
16%
78-79°F
$1,927 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$1,395 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$629 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$2,037 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for San Francisco on July 22 favor a moderate marine layer with onshore flow from the cold California Current, limiting daytime heating and supporting highs clustered in the low-to-mid 70s. This pattern produces a strong temperature inversion that caps mixing and sustains coastal stratus or fog into the afternoon at many stations, while slight variations in layer depth, wind strength, or high-cloud cover can shift peak readings by a few degrees. Trader consensus around 74–75°F reflects typical July climatology near official sites like SFO, where historical averages hover near 68–72°F but occasional marine-layer retreat allows brief warming; model spread and measurement criteria create the tight distribution across adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$17,383End Date
Jul 22, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for San Francisco on July 22 favor a moderate marine layer with onshore flow from the cold California Current, limiting daytime heating and supporting highs clustered in the low-to-mid 70s. This pattern produces a strong temperature inversion that caps mixing and sustains coastal stratus or fog into the afternoon at many stations, while slight variations in layer depth, wind strength, or high-cloud cover can shift peak readings by a few degrees. Trader consensus around 74–75°F reflects typical July climatology near official sites like SFO, where historical averages hover near 68–72°F but occasional marine-layer retreat allows brief warming; model spread and measurement criteria create the tight distribution across adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,383End Date
Jul 22, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for San Francisco on July 22 favor a moderate marine layer with onshore flow from the cold California Current, limiting daytime heating and supporting highs clustered in the low-to-mid 70s. This pattern produces a strong temperature inversion that caps mixing and sustains coastal stratus or fog into the afternoon at many stations, while slight variations in layer depth, wind strength, or high-cloud cover can shift peak readings by a few degrees. Trader consensus around 74–75°F reflects typical July climatology near official sites like SFO, where historical averages hover near 68–72°F but occasional marine-layer retreat allows brief warming; model spread and measurement criteria create the tight distribution across adjacent bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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