Recent forecasts from Central American meteorological services indicate maximum temperatures in Panama City on September 11 will likely peak near 30–31°C, driven by typical rainy-season cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate northwest winds that limit extreme heating. These conditions align with September climatology showing average highs around 29–30°C, though recent observations have occasionally reached 31°C amid elevated humidity. Market-implied probabilities favor 32°C as the leading outcome due to model uncertainty ranges and potential for brief clear periods allowing slightly higher readings, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above reflect the moderating effects of precipitation. Updated model guidance and official station data later today will further refine resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 11?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 11?
32°C 42%
33°C 35%
31°C 16%
30°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
16%
32°C
42%
33°C
35%
34°C or higher
3%
32°C 42%
33°C 35%
31°C 16%
30°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
$164 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$166 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$161 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$9 Vol.
1%
29°C
$203 Vol.
3%
30°C
$396 Vol.
4%
31°C
$2,362 Vol.
16%
32°C
$949 Vol.
42%
33°C
$3,485 Vol.
35%
34°C or higher
$406 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Central American meteorological services indicate maximum temperatures in Panama City on September 11 will likely peak near 30–31°C, driven by typical rainy-season cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate northwest winds that limit extreme heating. These conditions align with September climatology showing average highs around 29–30°C, though recent observations have occasionally reached 31°C amid elevated humidity. Market-implied probabilities favor 32°C as the leading outcome due to model uncertainty ranges and potential for brief clear periods allowing slightly higher readings, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above reflect the moderating effects of precipitation. Updated model guidance and official station data later today will further refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,328End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Central American meteorological services indicate maximum temperatures in Panama City on September 11 will likely peak near 30–31°C, driven by typical rainy-season cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate northwest winds that limit extreme heating. These conditions align with September climatology showing average highs around 29–30°C, though recent observations have occasionally reached 31°C amid elevated humidity. Market-implied probabilities favor 32°C as the leading outcome due to model uncertainty ranges and potential for brief clear periods allowing slightly higher readings, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above reflect the moderating effects of precipitation. Updated model guidance and official station data later today will further refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,328End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Central American meteorological services indicate maximum temperatures in Panama City on September 11 will likely peak near 30–31°C, driven by typical rainy-season cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate northwest winds that limit extreme heating. These conditions align with September climatology showing average highs around 29–30°C, though recent observations have occasionally reached 31°C amid elevated humidity. Market-implied probabilities favor 32°C as the leading outcome due to model uncertainty ranges and potential for brief clear periods allowing slightly higher readings, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above reflect the moderating effects of precipitation. Updated model guidance and official station data later today will further refine resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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