Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to a peak temperature of 92–93°F in Miami on August 13, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and above-average sea-surface temperatures that limit daytime mixing and enhance heat retention. Historical climatology shows mid-August daily maxima averaging near 90°F, with recent observations confirming a brief warming trend consistent with the leading market-implied probability. Traders are weighting the 94–95°F bin next due to uncertainty in afternoon sea-breeze timing, while lower bins remain discounted absent any incoming frontal passage or increased cloud cover. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 13?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 13?
92-93°F 56%
94-95°F 24%
90-91°F 13%
96-97°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
24%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 56%
94-95°F 24%
90-91°F 13%
96-97°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
81°F or below
$107 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$129 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$63 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$104 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$77 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$428 Vol.
13%
92-93°F
$410 Vol.
56%
94-95°F
$3,417 Vol.
24%
96-97°F
$41 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$39 Vol.
1%
100°F or higher
$360 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to a peak temperature of 92–93°F in Miami on August 13, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and above-average sea-surface temperatures that limit daytime mixing and enhance heat retention. Historical climatology shows mid-August daily maxima averaging near 90°F, with recent observations confirming a brief warming trend consistent with the leading market-implied probability. Traders are weighting the 94–95°F bin next due to uncertainty in afternoon sea-breeze timing, while lower bins remain discounted absent any incoming frontal passage or increased cloud cover. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$5,175End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to a peak temperature of 92–93°F in Miami on August 13, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and above-average sea-surface temperatures that limit daytime mixing and enhance heat retention. Historical climatology shows mid-August daily maxima averaging near 90°F, with recent observations confirming a brief warming trend consistent with the leading market-implied probability. Traders are weighting the 94–95°F bin next due to uncertainty in afternoon sea-breeze timing, while lower bins remain discounted absent any incoming frontal passage or increased cloud cover. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,175End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to a peak temperature of 92–93°F in Miami on August 13, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and above-average sea-surface temperatures that limit daytime mixing and enhance heat retention. Historical climatology shows mid-August daily maxima averaging near 90°F, with recent observations confirming a brief warming trend consistent with the leading market-implied probability. Traders are weighting the 94–95°F bin next due to uncertainty in afternoon sea-breeze timing, while lower bins remain discounted absent any incoming frontal passage or increased cloud cover. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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