Recent National Weather Service model consensus for Houston shows daytime highs likely peaking between 100–103°F on July 22 amid typical July subtropical ridging and light winds that limit mixing. The near-even split between 100–101°F and 102–103°F outcomes reflects small but operationally significant differences in how guidance handles afternoon dew points near 75°F and any subtle boundary-layer moisture transport from the Gulf. Updated runs tomorrow morning from the GFS and ECMWF, plus local mesonet observations, will clarify whether a brief sea-breeze or slight veering flow keeps readings capped near 100°F or allows full insolation to push past 102°F. Historical July extremes for the city provide context but carry limited weight given current steering patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on July 22?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 22?
100-101°F 41%
102-103°F 34%
98-99°F 15%
104-105°F 15%
NEW
$14,175 Vol.
NEW
$14,175 Vol.
Jul 22, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
34%
104-105°F
15%
106°F or higher
2%
100-101°F 41%
102-103°F 34%
98-99°F 15%
104-105°F 15%
NEW
$14,175 Vol.
NEW
$14,175 Vol.
Jul 22, 2026
87°F or below
$255 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$1,231 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$1,288 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$499 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$455 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$347 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$1,717 Vol.
15%
100-101°F
$2,558 Vol.
41%
102-103°F
$3,635 Vol.
34%
104-105°F
$1,619 Vol.
15%
106°F or higher
$571 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus for Houston shows daytime highs likely peaking between 100–103°F on July 22 amid typical July subtropical ridging and light winds that limit mixing. The near-even split between 100–101°F and 102–103°F outcomes reflects small but operationally significant differences in how guidance handles afternoon dew points near 75°F and any subtle boundary-layer moisture transport from the Gulf. Updated runs tomorrow morning from the GFS and ECMWF, plus local mesonet observations, will clarify whether a brief sea-breeze or slight veering flow keeps readings capped near 100°F or allows full insolation to push past 102°F. Historical July extremes for the city provide context but carry limited weight given current steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$14,175End Date
Jul 22, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus for Houston shows daytime highs likely peaking between 100–103°F on July 22 amid typical July subtropical ridging and light winds that limit mixing. The near-even split between 100–101°F and 102–103°F outcomes reflects small but operationally significant differences in how guidance handles afternoon dew points near 75°F and any subtle boundary-layer moisture transport from the Gulf. Updated runs tomorrow morning from the GFS and ECMWF, plus local mesonet observations, will clarify whether a brief sea-breeze or slight veering flow keeps readings capped near 100°F or allows full insolation to push past 102°F. Historical July extremes for the city provide context but carry limited weight given current steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,175End Date
Jul 22, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model consensus for Houston shows daytime highs likely peaking between 100–103°F on July 22 amid typical July subtropical ridging and light winds that limit mixing. The near-even split between 100–101°F and 102–103°F outcomes reflects small but operationally significant differences in how guidance handles afternoon dew points near 75°F and any subtle boundary-layer moisture transport from the Gulf. Updated runs tomorrow morning from the GFS and ECMWF, plus local mesonet observations, will clarify whether a brief sea-breeze or slight veering flow keeps readings capped near 100°F or allows full insolation to push past 102°F. Historical July extremes for the city provide context but carry limited weight given current steering patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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