Persistent high-pressure ridging and a lingering heatwave across the Front Range have positioned Denver for another day of well-above-normal warmth on July 22, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing afternoon highs most likely in the low to mid-90s under mostly sunny skies and light winds. Recent observations confirm multiple days above 95–100 °F, consistent with July’s climatological peak when average highs reach 95 °F. Trader consensus reflected in the 43.5 % implied probability for 94 °F or higher and 32.5 % for 92–93 °F aligns with this model consensus while accounting for typical forecast uncertainty around maximum temperature, such as slight variations in cloud cover or downslope wind strength. The market will resolve on the official Denver International Airport reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on July 22?
Highest temperature in Denver on July 22?
94°F or higher 65%
92-93°F 19%
90-91°F 10%
88-89°F 2.0%
NEW
$25,989 Vol.
NEW
$25,989 Vol.
Jul 22, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
19%
94°F or higher
65%
94°F or higher 65%
92-93°F 19%
90-91°F 10%
88-89°F 2.0%
NEW
$25,989 Vol.
NEW
$25,989 Vol.
Jul 22, 2026
75°F or below
$305 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,901 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$350 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$400 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,469 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$887 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,164 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$1,622 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$3,061 Vol.
10%
92-93°F
$7,506 Vol.
19%
94°F or higher
$7,325 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure ridging and a lingering heatwave across the Front Range have positioned Denver for another day of well-above-normal warmth on July 22, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing afternoon highs most likely in the low to mid-90s under mostly sunny skies and light winds. Recent observations confirm multiple days above 95–100 °F, consistent with July’s climatological peak when average highs reach 95 °F. Trader consensus reflected in the 43.5 % implied probability for 94 °F or higher and 32.5 % for 92–93 °F aligns with this model consensus while accounting for typical forecast uncertainty around maximum temperature, such as slight variations in cloud cover or downslope wind strength. The market will resolve on the official Denver International Airport reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$25,989End Date
Jul 22, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure ridging and a lingering heatwave across the Front Range have positioned Denver for another day of well-above-normal warmth on July 22, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing afternoon highs most likely in the low to mid-90s under mostly sunny skies and light winds. Recent observations confirm multiple days above 95–100 °F, consistent with July’s climatological peak when average highs reach 95 °F. Trader consensus reflected in the 43.5 % implied probability for 94 °F or higher and 32.5 % for 92–93 °F aligns with this model consensus while accounting for typical forecast uncertainty around maximum temperature, such as slight variations in cloud cover or downslope wind strength. The market will resolve on the official Denver International Airport reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,989End Date
Jul 22, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure ridging and a lingering heatwave across the Front Range have positioned Denver for another day of well-above-normal warmth on July 22, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing afternoon highs most likely in the low to mid-90s under mostly sunny skies and light winds. Recent observations confirm multiple days above 95–100 °F, consistent with July’s climatological peak when average highs reach 95 °F. Trader consensus reflected in the 43.5 % implied probability for 94 °F or higher and 32.5 % for 92–93 °F aligns with this model consensus while accounting for typical forecast uncertainty around maximum temperature, such as slight variations in cloud cover or downslope wind strength. The market will resolve on the official Denver International Airport reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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