Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina show a mild winter day ahead for Buenos Aires on July 26, with ensemble guidance favoring a daily maximum near 18–20°C amid light northerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the market-implied odds clustering around 19–21°C while reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where small shifts in frontal positioning or wind direction could tip the high by 1–2°C. Historical July maxima average near 15°C, so current conditions represent above-normal warmth driven by transient subtropical air advection rather than persistent climate signals. Updated model outputs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature recorded at official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 26?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 26?
19°C 31%
20°C 31%
21°C 19%
18°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 26, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
13%
19°C
31%
20°C
31%
21°C
19%
22°C
10%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 31%
20°C 31%
21°C 19%
18°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 26, 2026
14°C or below
$1,539 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$319 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$151 Vol.
3%
17°C
$166 Vol.
4%
18°C
$282 Vol.
13%
19°C
$275 Vol.
31%
20°C
$217 Vol.
31%
21°C
$187 Vol.
19%
22°C
$871 Vol.
10%
23°C
$15 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina show a mild winter day ahead for Buenos Aires on July 26, with ensemble guidance favoring a daily maximum near 18–20°C amid light northerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the market-implied odds clustering around 19–21°C while reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where small shifts in frontal positioning or wind direction could tip the high by 1–2°C. Historical July maxima average near 15°C, so current conditions represent above-normal warmth driven by transient subtropical air advection rather than persistent climate signals. Updated model outputs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$4,037End Date
Jul 26, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina show a mild winter day ahead for Buenos Aires on July 26, with ensemble guidance favoring a daily maximum near 18–20°C amid light northerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the market-implied odds clustering around 19–21°C while reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where small shifts in frontal positioning or wind direction could tip the high by 1–2°C. Historical July maxima average near 15°C, so current conditions represent above-normal warmth driven by transient subtropical air advection rather than persistent climate signals. Updated model outputs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,037End Date
Jul 26, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina show a mild winter day ahead for Buenos Aires on July 26, with ensemble guidance favoring a daily maximum near 18–20°C amid light northerly flow and limited cloud cover that reduces nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the market-implied odds clustering around 19–21°C while reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where small shifts in frontal positioning or wind direction could tip the high by 1–2°C. Historical July maxima average near 15°C, so current conditions represent above-normal warmth driven by transient subtropical air advection rather than persistent climate signals. Updated model outputs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature recorded at official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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