**H200 rental rates currently range from $2.53–$2.60 per GPU-hour on the lowest spot and on-demand neocloud offers, with medians near $4.40 and hyperscaler listings above $10.** Persistent HBM3e memory and CoWoS packaging shortages, combined with TSMC capacity prioritized for Blackwell and Vera Rubin chips, have capped new H200 supply since early 2026. Limited licensed shipments to Chinese buyers (roughly 20,000 units delivered) and production shifts away from Hopper have tightened global availability outside hyperscalers. Demand remains firm for the H200’s 141 GB HBM3e memory in large-model inference and training workloads that exceed H100 capacity. Recent 90-day price trends show stability in neocloud marketplaces, though year-over-year increases reflect sustained AI infrastructure spending. Key variables for the remainder of 2026 include further export policy changes, ramp rates for competing Blackwell systems, and any HBM supply relief.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$12,113 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
↑ $7.00
43%
↑ $6.00
63%
↓ $4.00
88%
↓ $3.75
62%
↓ $3.50
67%
↓ $3.00
35%
↓ $2.50
11%
$12,113 Vol.
↑ $7.00
$169 Vol.
43%
↑ $6.00
$213 Vol.
63%
↓ $4.00
$634 Vol.
88%
↓ $3.75
$4,284 Vol.
62%
↓ $3.50
$731 Vol.
67%
↓ $3.00
$2,709 Vol.
35%
↓ $2.50
$171 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.**H200 rental rates currently range from $2.53–$2.60 per GPU-hour on the lowest spot and on-demand neocloud offers, with medians near $4.40 and hyperscaler listings above $10.** Persistent HBM3e memory and CoWoS packaging shortages, combined with TSMC capacity prioritized for Blackwell and Vera Rubin chips, have capped new H200 supply since early 2026. Limited licensed shipments to Chinese buyers (roughly 20,000 units delivered) and production shifts away from Hopper have tightened global availability outside hyperscalers. Demand remains firm for the H200’s 141 GB HBM3e memory in large-model inference and training workloads that exceed H100 capacity. Recent 90-day price trends show stability in neocloud marketplaces, though year-over-year increases reflect sustained AI infrastructure spending. Key variables for the remainder of 2026 include further export policy changes, ramp rates for competing Blackwell systems, and any HBM supply relief.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ET
Volume
$12,113End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.**H200 rental rates currently range from $2.53–$2.60 per GPU-hour on the lowest spot and on-demand neocloud offers, with medians near $4.40 and hyperscaler listings above $10.** Persistent HBM3e memory and CoWoS packaging shortages, combined with TSMC capacity prioritized for Blackwell and Vera Rubin chips, have capped new H200 supply since early 2026. Limited licensed shipments to Chinese buyers (roughly 20,000 units delivered) and production shifts away from Hopper have tightened global availability outside hyperscalers. Demand remains firm for the H200’s 141 GB HBM3e memory in large-model inference and training workloads that exceed H100 capacity. Recent 90-day price trends show stability in neocloud marketplaces, though year-over-year increases reflect sustained AI infrastructure spending. Key variables for the remainder of 2026 include further export policy changes, ramp rates for competing Blackwell systems, and any HBM supply relief.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$12,113End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**H200 rental rates currently range from $2.53–$2.60 per GPU-hour on the lowest spot and on-demand neocloud offers, with medians near $4.40 and hyperscaler listings above $10.** Persistent HBM3e memory and CoWoS packaging shortages, combined with TSMC capacity prioritized for Blackwell and Vera Rubin chips, have capped new H200 supply since early 2026. Limited licensed shipments to Chinese buyers (roughly 20,000 units delivered) and production shifts away from Hopper have tightened global availability outside hyperscalers. Demand remains firm for the H200’s 141 GB HBM3e memory in large-model inference and training workloads that exceed H100 capacity. Recent 90-day price trends show stability in neocloud marketplaces, though year-over-year increases reflect sustained AI infrastructure spending. Key variables for the remainder of 2026 include further export policy changes, ramp rates for competing Blackwell systems, and any HBM supply relief.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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