Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate

Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate — Discussion

FilibusterTerminator · 2026-08-04T16:16:01.520Z

Discussion about Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate. Traders share insights and predictions on Polymarket.

Alfredo Gaspar 98.4%

Michelle Bolsonaro <1%

Simone Marquetto <1%

Daniella Marques <1%

$23,807 Vol.

Aug 15, 2026

Alfredo Gaspar

$14,065 Vol.

98%

Michelle Bolsonaro

$733 Vol.

Simone Marquetto

$642 Vol.

<1%

Daniella Marques

$848 Vol.

<1%

Júlia Zanatta

$618 Vol.

<1%

Priscila Costa

$729 Vol.

<1%

Marcos Pontes

$633 Vol.

<1%

Clarissa Tércio

$589 Vol.

<1%

Tereza Cristina

$812 Vol.

<1%

Damares Alves

$600 Vol.

<1%

Renata Abreu

$612 Vol.

<1%

Gilson Machado

$602 Vol.

<1%

Bia Kicis

$593 Vol.

<1%

Rosana Valle

$599 Vol.

<1%

Rogério Marinho

$1,131 Vol.

<1%

Alfredo Gaspar 98.4%

Michelle Bolsonaro <1%

Simone Marquetto <1%

Daniella Marques <1%

$23,807 Vol.

Aug 15, 2026

Alfredo Gaspar

$14,065 Vol.

98%

Michelle Bolsonaro

$733 Vol.

Simone Marquetto

$642 Vol.

<1%

Daniella Marques

$848 Vol.

<1%

Júlia Zanatta

$618 Vol.

<1%

Priscila Costa

$729 Vol.

<1%

Marcos Pontes

$633 Vol.

<1%

Clarissa Tércio

$589 Vol.

<1%

Tereza Cristina

$812 Vol.

<1%

Damares Alves

$600 Vol.

<1%

Renata Abreu

$612 Vol.

<1%

Gilson Machado

$602 Vol.

<1%

Bia Kicis

$593 Vol.

<1%

Rosana Valle

$599 Vol.

<1%

Rogério Marinho

$1,131 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

100%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

64%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

95%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alfredo Gaspar" at 98%, followed by "Michelle Bolsonaro" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate" has generated $23.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate" is "Alfredo Gaspar" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michelle Bolsonaro" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $23.8K traded on “Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 98¢ for "Alfredo Gaspar" in the "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 98% chance that "Alfredo Gaspar" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 98¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 2¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Aug 15, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate" market has a growing discussion of 4 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate

Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

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Comments (4)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

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What does a price of 98¢ for "Alfredo Gaspar" mean?

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