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icon for Eric Swalwell charged by September 30?
Politics·Courts

Eric Swalwell charged by September 30?

icon for Eric Swalwell charged by September 30?
Politics·Courts

Eric Swalwell charged by September 30?

16% chance
Polymarket
NEW
16% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell's alleged sexual misconduct have advanced through device seizures and warrants but produced no charges.** In mid-August 2026, FBI agents executed search warrants at San Francisco International Airport and Swalwell’s Washington home, seizing an iPhone and MacBook Pro as part of a federal civil rights probe under 18 U.S.C. § 242 tied to the allegations. Parallel inquiries continue with the Manhattan District Attorney’s office and Los Angeles authorities following the April 2026 public accusations that prompted his congressional resignation and withdrawal from the California governor’s race. With the September 30 resolution date approaching and no indictments filed despite months of scrutiny and device analysis, traders assign an 84.5% implied probability to “No,” reflecting the procedural timelines typical of such cases and the absence of imminent charging decisions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$105
End Date
Oct 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Investigations into former Rep. Eric Swalwell's alleged sexual misconduct have advanced through device seizures and warrants but produced no charges.** In mid-August 2026, FBI agents executed search warrants at San Francisco International Airport and Swalwell’s Washington home, seizing an iPhone and MacBook Pro as part of a federal civil rights probe under 18 U.S.C. § 242 tied to the allegations. Parallel inquiries continue with the Manhattan District Attorney’s office and Los Angeles authorities following the April 2026 public accusations that prompted his congressional resignation and withdrawal from the California governor’s race. With the September 30 resolution date approaching and no indictments filed despite months of scrutiny and device analysis, traders assign an 84.5% implied probability to “No,” reflecting the procedural timelines typical of such cases and the absence of imminent charging decisions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$105
End Date
Oct 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eric Swalwell charged by September 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 16% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 16¢, the market collectively assigns a 16% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eric Swalwell charged by September 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eric Swalwell charged by September 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Eric Swalwell charged by September 30?" is 16% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 16% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Eric Swalwell charged by September 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.