The July 8 Emmy nominations announcement has anchored trader sentiment for Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series, with Colman Domingo’s frontrunner status at 35% reflecting Euphoria’s cultural heft and his established awards pedigree. Bradley Whitford sits at 24.9% on the strength of The Diplomat’s seven total nods and his full-circle return to the category after prior West Wing success. Ernest Harden Jr. at 18.8% and Jeff Kober at 7.2% benefit from The Pitt’s strong critical reception and their self-funded campaigns after HBO declined to submit, while Jonathan Pryce (5.4%) and Jeff Hiller (1.3%) trail on more limited visibility. Upcoming guild and critics’ reactions ahead of the September ceremony remain the key swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series
Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” 35%
Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat” 24.9%
Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt” 18.8%
Jeff Kober – “The Pitt” 7.1%
$46,251 Vol.
$46,251 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
Colman Domingo – “Euphoria”
35%
Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat”
25%
Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt”
19%
Jeff Kober – “The Pitt”
7%
Jonathan Pryce – “Slow Horses”
5%
Jeff Hiller – “Pluribus”
5%
Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” 35%
Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat” 24.9%
Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt” 18.8%
Jeff Kober – “The Pitt” 7.1%
$46,251 Vol.
$46,251 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
Colman Domingo – “Euphoria”
$33,742 Vol.
35%
Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat”
$3,869 Vol.
25%
Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt”
$2,513 Vol.
19%
Jeff Kober – “The Pitt”
$2,721 Vol.
7%
Jonathan Pryce – “Slow Horses”
$451 Vol.
5%
Jeff Hiller – “Pluribus”
$2,955 Vol.
5%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The July 8 Emmy nominations announcement has anchored trader sentiment for Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series, with Colman Domingo’s frontrunner status at 35% reflecting Euphoria’s cultural heft and his established awards pedigree. Bradley Whitford sits at 24.9% on the strength of The Diplomat’s seven total nods and his full-circle return to the category after prior West Wing success. Ernest Harden Jr. at 18.8% and Jeff Kober at 7.2% benefit from The Pitt’s strong critical reception and their self-funded campaigns after HBO declined to submit, while Jonathan Pryce (5.4%) and Jeff Hiller (1.3%) trail on more limited visibility. Upcoming guild and critics’ reactions ahead of the September ceremony remain the key swing factors.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volume
$46,251End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The July 8 Emmy nominations announcement has anchored trader sentiment for Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series, with Colman Domingo’s frontrunner status at 35% reflecting Euphoria’s cultural heft and his established awards pedigree. Bradley Whitford sits at 24.9% on the strength of The Diplomat’s seven total nods and his full-circle return to the category after prior West Wing success. Ernest Harden Jr. at 18.8% and Jeff Kober at 7.2% benefit from The Pitt’s strong critical reception and their self-funded campaigns after HBO declined to submit, while Jonathan Pryce (5.4%) and Jeff Hiller (1.3%) trail on more limited visibility. Upcoming guild and critics’ reactions ahead of the September ceremony remain the key swing factors.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$46,251End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The July 8 Emmy nominations announcement has anchored trader sentiment for Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series, with Colman Domingo’s frontrunner status at 35% reflecting Euphoria’s cultural heft and his established awards pedigree. Bradley Whitford sits at 24.9% on the strength of The Diplomat’s seven total nods and his full-circle return to the category after prior West Wing success. Ernest Harden Jr. at 18.8% and Jeff Kober at 7.2% benefit from The Pitt’s strong critical reception and their self-funded campaigns after HBO declined to submit, while Jonathan Pryce (5.4%) and Jeff Hiller (1.3%) trail on more limited visibility. Upcoming guild and critics’ reactions ahead of the September ceremony remain the key swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions