Elon Musk’s posting volume on X has settled in the 160–239 range across multiple recent full-week windows, reflecting a baseline of steady engagement with Tesla product updates like Cybercab manufacturing details and occasional political commentary that traders view as the main drivers of activity. With no major earnings release, product launch, or platform controversy currently scheduled for September 8–15, the tightly bunched probabilities around the 140–259 brackets capture uncertainty over whether routine daily cadence will hold or accelerate. Historical patterns show sharp swings when news cycles intensify or quiet periods emerge, leaving the market-implied odds sensitive to any late-breaking developments that could push totals outside the central cluster.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated160-179 19%
180-199 18%
200-219 17%
140-159 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
7%
120-139
7%
140-159
15%
160-179
19%
180-199
18%
200-219
17%
220-239
15%
240-259
13%
260-279
7%
280-299
5%
300-319
5%
320-339
5%
340-359
5%
360-379
3%
380-399
3%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500+
1%
160-179 19%
180-199 18%
200-219 17%
140-159 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
<20
$100 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$200 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$210 Vol.
1%
60-79
$400 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$100 Vol.
1%
100-119
$0 Vol.
7%
120-139
$10 Vol.
7%
140-159
$0 Vol.
15%
160-179
$0 Vol.
19%
180-199
$0 Vol.
18%
200-219
$0 Vol.
17%
220-239
$0 Vol.
15%
240-259
$0 Vol.
13%
260-279
$0 Vol.
7%
280-299
$0 Vol.
5%
300-319
$0 Vol.
5%
320-339
$0 Vol.
5%
340-359
$150 Vol.
5%
360-379
$50 Vol.
3%
380-399
$50 Vol.
3%
400-419
$8 Vol.
1%
420-439
$8 Vol.
1%
440-459
$8 Vol.
1%
460-479
$8 Vol.
1%
480-499
$8 Vol.
1%
500+
$8 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting volume on X has settled in the 160–239 range across multiple recent full-week windows, reflecting a baseline of steady engagement with Tesla product updates like Cybercab manufacturing details and occasional political commentary that traders view as the main drivers of activity. With no major earnings release, product launch, or platform controversy currently scheduled for September 8–15, the tightly bunched probabilities around the 140–259 brackets capture uncertainty over whether routine daily cadence will hold or accelerate. Historical patterns show sharp swings when news cycles intensify or quiet periods emerge, leaving the market-implied odds sensitive to any late-breaking developments that could push totals outside the central cluster.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,185End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting volume on X has settled in the 160–239 range across multiple recent full-week windows, reflecting a baseline of steady engagement with Tesla product updates like Cybercab manufacturing details and occasional political commentary that traders view as the main drivers of activity. With no major earnings release, product launch, or platform controversy currently scheduled for September 8–15, the tightly bunched probabilities around the 140–259 brackets capture uncertainty over whether routine daily cadence will hold or accelerate. Historical patterns show sharp swings when news cycles intensify or quiet periods emerge, leaving the market-implied odds sensitive to any late-breaking developments that could push totals outside the central cluster.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,185End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting volume on X has settled in the 160–239 range across multiple recent full-week windows, reflecting a baseline of steady engagement with Tesla product updates like Cybercab manufacturing details and occasional political commentary that traders view as the main drivers of activity. With no major earnings release, product launch, or platform controversy currently scheduled for September 8–15, the tightly bunched probabilities around the 140–259 brackets capture uncertainty over whether routine daily cadence will hold or accelerate. Historical patterns show sharp swings when news cycles intensify or quiet periods emerge, leaving the market-implied odds sensitive to any late-breaking developments that could push totals outside the central cluster.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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