Prime Minister Keir Starmer holds full discretion under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act to request a general election at any time before the automatic deadline of August 2029. Recent local and devolved elections on May 7, 2026, passed without sparking widespread speculation of an early national vote, while Labour trails Reform UK in polling and faces pressure from economic data and internal party dynamics. Traders view these conditions as reducing the incentive for a snap contest in 2026 unless a sudden crisis emerges. The absence of major policy reversals or parliamentary defeats so far supports the market's modest pricing for a call before year-end, with the full term remaining the baseline expectation absent new catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于英国大选由...召集？
英国大选由...召集？
$784,672 交易量
2026-06-30
June 30, 2026
1%
December 31, 2026
11%
$784,672 交易量
June 30, 2026
$58,287 交易量
1%
December 31, 2026
$661 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Keir Starmer holds full discretion under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act to request a general election at any time before the automatic deadline of August 2029. Recent local and devolved elections on May 7, 2026, passed without sparking widespread speculation of an early national vote, while Labour trails Reform UK in polling and faces pressure from economic data and internal party dynamics. Traders view these conditions as reducing the incentive for a snap contest in 2026 unless a sudden crisis emerges. The absence of major policy reversals or parliamentary defeats so far supports the market's modest pricing for a call before year-end, with the full term remaining the baseline expectation absent new catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ET
交易量
$784,672结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Keir Starmer holds full discretion under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act to request a general election at any time before the automatic deadline of August 2029. Recent local and devolved elections on May 7, 2026, passed without sparking widespread speculation of an early national vote, while Labour trails Reform UK in polling and faces pressure from economic data and internal party dynamics. Traders view these conditions as reducing the incentive for a snap contest in 2026 unless a sudden crisis emerges. The absence of major policy reversals or parliamentary defeats so far supports the market's modest pricing for a call before year-end, with the full term remaining the baseline expectation absent new catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$784,672结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Keir Starmer holds full discretion under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act to request a general election at any time before the automatic deadline of August 2029. Recent local and devolved elections on May 7, 2026, passed without sparking widespread speculation of an early national vote, while Labour trails Reform UK in polling and faces pressure from economic data and internal party dynamics. Traders view these conditions as reducing the incentive for a snap contest in 2026 unless a sudden crisis emerges. The absence of major policy reversals or parliamentary defeats so far supports the market's modest pricing for a call before year-end, with the full term remaining the baseline expectation absent new catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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