Elon Musk’s recent X activity shows steady engagement around Grok AI milestones, SpaceX landing records, and occasional replies on geopolitics or company updates, with multiple posts logged on August 17 alone. Historical patterns from 2025–2026 point to roughly 8–12 tweets per day on average, projecting a three-day weekend total in the 24–45 range. The tight race between the <40 bucket (42.5%) and 40–64 range (44.5%) reflects uncertainty over whether lighter weekend posting will hold or if fresh developments—such as AI benchmarks, regulatory news, or viral moments—could push volume higher. Higher brackets remain longshots, consistent with his documented output rarely exceeding 20 posts daily absent major catalysts. Traders are watching for any late-week announcements that might shift momentum before the period locks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<40 44.9%
40-64 40%
65-89 28%
90-114 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
<40
45%
40-64
40%
65-89
28%
90-114
14%
115-139
13%
140-164
13%
165-189
3%
190-214
3%
215-239
3%
240+
3%
<40 44.9%
40-64 40%
65-89 28%
90-114 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
<40
$91 Vol.
45%
40-64
$0 Vol.
40%
65-89
$0 Vol.
28%
90-114
$0 Vol.
14%
115-139
$0 Vol.
13%
140-164
$0 Vol.
13%
165-189
$0 Vol.
3%
190-214
$0 Vol.
3%
215-239
$5 Vol.
3%
240+
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent X activity shows steady engagement around Grok AI milestones, SpaceX landing records, and occasional replies on geopolitics or company updates, with multiple posts logged on August 17 alone. Historical patterns from 2025–2026 point to roughly 8–12 tweets per day on average, projecting a three-day weekend total in the 24–45 range. The tight race between the <40 bucket (42.5%) and 40–64 range (44.5%) reflects uncertainty over whether lighter weekend posting will hold or if fresh developments—such as AI benchmarks, regulatory news, or viral moments—could push volume higher. Higher brackets remain longshots, consistent with his documented output rarely exceeding 20 posts daily absent major catalysts. Traders are watching for any late-week announcements that might shift momentum before the period locks.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$101End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent X activity shows steady engagement around Grok AI milestones, SpaceX landing records, and occasional replies on geopolitics or company updates, with multiple posts logged on August 17 alone. Historical patterns from 2025–2026 point to roughly 8–12 tweets per day on average, projecting a three-day weekend total in the 24–45 range. The tight race between the <40 bucket (42.5%) and 40–64 range (44.5%) reflects uncertainty over whether lighter weekend posting will hold or if fresh developments—such as AI benchmarks, regulatory news, or viral moments—could push volume higher. Higher brackets remain longshots, consistent with his documented output rarely exceeding 20 posts daily absent major catalysts. Traders are watching for any late-week announcements that might shift momentum before the period locks.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$101End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent X activity shows steady engagement around Grok AI milestones, SpaceX landing records, and occasional replies on geopolitics or company updates, with multiple posts logged on August 17 alone. Historical patterns from 2025–2026 point to roughly 8–12 tweets per day on average, projecting a three-day weekend total in the 24–45 range. The tight race between the <40 bucket (42.5%) and 40–64 range (44.5%) reflects uncertainty over whether lighter weekend posting will hold or if fresh developments—such as AI benchmarks, regulatory news, or viral moments—could push volume higher. Higher brackets remain longshots, consistent with his documented output rarely exceeding 20 posts daily absent major catalysts. Traders are watching for any late-week announcements that might shift momentum before the period locks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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