Recent price volatility in modern Charizard ex variants, including notable drops for cards from Phantasmal Flames and ongoing Mega Evolution sets like Ascended Heroes, has created a tight balance at 50% implied probability for an up move by September 30. Trader sentiment reflects competing pressures: fresh supply from recent tins and special collections tempers gains for some chase cards, while enduring collector demand for iconic artwork and tournament staples supports resilience. Key swing factors include any late-August or September product reveals, streaming metrics from major events, or shifts in raw versus graded market data that could alter short-term trajectories before the cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCharizard ex Price Up/Down on September 30?
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This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $376.42.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $376.42.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $376.42.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $376.42.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Resolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent price volatility in modern Charizard ex variants, including notable drops for cards from Phantasmal Flames and ongoing Mega Evolution sets like Ascended Heroes, has created a tight balance at 50% implied probability for an up move by September 30. Trader sentiment reflects competing pressures: fresh supply from recent tins and special collections tempers gains for some chase cards, while enduring collector demand for iconic artwork and tournament staples supports resilience. Key swing factors include any late-August or September product reveals, streaming metrics from major events, or shifts in raw versus graded market data that could alter short-term trajectories before the cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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