Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 state election shows Die Linke consistently in the 19-22% range across institutes such as Infratest dimap, Civey, Forsa, and INSA, reflecting gains from its 12.2% result in the 2023 repeat vote. The party’s emphasis on housing costs and social policy has supported this rise, placing it in a tight multi-party contest with the CDU, AfD, and Greens. With roughly two weeks remaining, late shifts in turnout among younger or left-leaning voters, final campaign events, or minor polling movements could determine whether the result lands in the 17-20% or 20-23% band that traders currently price as most likely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated17-20% 43%
20-23% 34%
<17% 20%
23%+ 6%
$36,538 Vol.
$36,538 Vol.
<17%
20%
17-20%
43%
20-23%
34%
23%+
6%
17-20% 43%
20-23% 34%
<17% 20%
23%+ 6%
$36,538 Vol.
$36,538 Vol.
<17%
20%
17-20%
43%
20-23%
34%
23%+
6%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 state election shows Die Linke consistently in the 19-22% range across institutes such as Infratest dimap, Civey, Forsa, and INSA, reflecting gains from its 12.2% result in the 2023 repeat vote. The party’s emphasis on housing costs and social policy has supported this rise, placing it in a tight multi-party contest with the CDU, AfD, and Greens. With roughly two weeks remaining, late shifts in turnout among younger or left-leaning voters, final campaign events, or minor polling movements could determine whether the result lands in the 17-20% or 20-23% band that traders currently price as most likely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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