Aziz Akhannouch’s January–February 2026 decision not to seek a third term as leader of the ruling National Rally of Independents (RNI) is the dominant driver behind the 93.8% implied probability he will leave office by December 31, 2026. He was succeeded as party president by Mohamed Chaouki, removing him from contention to head any new government even if the RNI performs strongly. Parliamentary elections fixed for September 23, 2026—well inside the resolution window—will determine the next prime minister under Morocco’s constitutional process, where the king appoints the head of government from the largest party or coalition. No subsequent statements or palace interventions have reversed Akhannouch’s withdrawal from party leadership, and routine pre-election consultations among parties have focused on electoral rules rather than extending his tenure. Traders therefore treat his departure after the vote as the near-certain baseline outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
94% chance
$166,971 Vol.
$166,971 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
94% chance
$166,971 Vol.
$166,971 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aziz Akhannouch ceases to be Prime Minister of Morocco for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aziz Akhannouch’s January–February 2026 decision not to seek a third term as leader of the ruling National Rally of Independents (RNI) is the dominant driver behind the 93.8% implied probability he will leave office by December 31, 2026. He was succeeded as party president by Mohamed Chaouki, removing him from contention to head any new government even if the RNI performs strongly. Parliamentary elections fixed for September 23, 2026—well inside the resolution window—will determine the next prime minister under Morocco’s constitutional process, where the king appoints the head of government from the largest party or coalition. No subsequent statements or palace interventions have reversed Akhannouch’s withdrawal from party leadership, and routine pre-election consultations among parties have focused on electoral rules rather than extending his tenure. Traders therefore treat his departure after the vote as the near-certain baseline outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aziz Akhannouch ceases to be Prime Minister of Morocco for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 2, 2025, 6:41 PM ET
Volume
$166,971End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Oct 2, 2025, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aziz Akhannouch ceases to be Prime Minister of Morocco for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aziz Akhannouch’s January–February 2026 decision not to seek a third term as leader of the ruling National Rally of Independents (RNI) is the dominant driver behind the 93.8% implied probability he will leave office by December 31, 2026. He was succeeded as party president by Mohamed Chaouki, removing him from contention to head any new government even if the RNI performs strongly. Parliamentary elections fixed for September 23, 2026—well inside the resolution window—will determine the next prime minister under Morocco’s constitutional process, where the king appoints the head of government from the largest party or coalition. No subsequent statements or palace interventions have reversed Akhannouch’s withdrawal from party leadership, and routine pre-election consultations among parties have focused on electoral rules rather than extending his tenure. Traders therefore treat his departure after the vote as the near-certain baseline outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aziz Akhannouch ceases to be Prime Minister of Morocco for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$166,971End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Oct 2, 2025, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Aziz Akhannouch’s January–February 2026 decision not to seek a third term as leader of the ruling National Rally of Independents (RNI) is the dominant driver behind the 93.8% implied probability he will leave office by December 31, 2026. He was succeeded as party president by Mohamed Chaouki, removing him from contention to head any new government even if the RNI performs strongly. Parliamentary elections fixed for September 23, 2026—well inside the resolution window—will determine the next prime minister under Morocco’s constitutional process, where the king appoints the head of government from the largest party or coalition. No subsequent statements or palace interventions have reversed Akhannouch’s withdrawal from party leadership, and routine pre-election consultations among parties have focused on electoral rules rather than extending his tenure. Traders therefore treat his departure after the vote as the near-certain baseline outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions