Recent Ukrainian drone attacks on and near Moscow have repeatedly triggered temporary suspensions of operations at the capital’s main airports, including Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky. The largest such incident occurred on June 18, 2026, when all four facilities halted arrivals and departures multiple times overnight amid the biggest reported drone assault on the city since the start of the full-scale conflict, resulting in hundreds of canceled or delayed flights. Similar restrictions followed on June 22. In response, Russian authorities imposed broader airspace measures, including lowered altitude limits and a ban on transit flights over the Moscow region that remained in effect into August 2026. These security-driven closures and ongoing NOTAM restrictions represent the dominant recent pattern shaping expectations for future suspensions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMoscow air traffic suspended by...?
Moscow air traffic suspended by...?
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
80%
September 15
83%
September 30
89%
$393 Vol.
August 31
$326 Vol.
80%
September 15
$64 Vol.
83%
September 30
$4 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Ukrainian drone attacks on and near Moscow have repeatedly triggered temporary suspensions of operations at the capital’s main airports, including Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky. The largest such incident occurred on June 18, 2026, when all four facilities halted arrivals and departures multiple times overnight amid the biggest reported drone assault on the city since the start of the full-scale conflict, resulting in hundreds of canceled or delayed flights. Similar restrictions followed on June 22. In response, Russian authorities imposed broader airspace measures, including lowered altitude limits and a ban on transit flights over the Moscow region that remained in effect into August 2026. These security-driven closures and ongoing NOTAM restrictions represent the dominant recent pattern shaping expectations for future suspensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Volume
$393End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Ukrainian drone attacks on and near Moscow have repeatedly triggered temporary suspensions of operations at the capital’s main airports, including Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky. The largest such incident occurred on June 18, 2026, when all four facilities halted arrivals and departures multiple times overnight amid the biggest reported drone assault on the city since the start of the full-scale conflict, resulting in hundreds of canceled or delayed flights. Similar restrictions followed on June 22. In response, Russian authorities imposed broader airspace measures, including lowered altitude limits and a ban on transit flights over the Moscow region that remained in effect into August 2026. These security-driven closures and ongoing NOTAM restrictions represent the dominant recent pattern shaping expectations for future suspensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$393End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Ukrainian drone attacks on and near Moscow have repeatedly triggered temporary suspensions of operations at the capital’s main airports, including Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky. The largest such incident occurred on June 18, 2026, when all four facilities halted arrivals and departures multiple times overnight amid the biggest reported drone assault on the city since the start of the full-scale conflict, resulting in hundreds of canceled or delayed flights. Similar restrictions followed on June 22. In response, Russian authorities imposed broader airspace measures, including lowered altitude limits and a ban on transit flights over the Moscow region that remained in effect into August 2026. These security-driven closures and ongoing NOTAM restrictions represent the dominant recent pattern shaping expectations for future suspensions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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