**Rapid revenue growth and banker guidance for a $2 trillion valuation underpin the 85.5% market-implied odds on an Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.8 trillion.** The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June 2026 and is targeting an October listing after raising $65 billion in May at a $965 billion post-money valuation. Its annualized revenue run rate surged from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025 to $47 billion in May and $65 billion by late July, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models and coding agents. Wall Street analysts are pricing the IPO on 2028 revenue forecasts of $190–200 billion, supporting multiples that justify the lofty target and exceed SpaceX’s recent $1.77 trillion debut. With a public filing expected shortly and strong hyperscaler backing, traders see limited risk of missing the high end or delaying past 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1.8T+ 86%
1.5–1.8T 8.6%
1.2–1.5T 2.5%
0.9–1.2T 1.3%
$364,663 Vol.
$364,663 Vol.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
3%
1.5–1.8T
9%
1.8T+
86%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
1.8T+ 86%
1.5–1.8T 8.6%
1.2–1.5T 2.5%
0.9–1.2T 1.3%
$364,663 Vol.
$364,663 Vol.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
3%
1.5–1.8T
9%
1.8T+
86%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Rapid revenue growth and banker guidance for a $2 trillion valuation underpin the 85.5% market-implied odds on an Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.8 trillion.** The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June 2026 and is targeting an October listing after raising $65 billion in May at a $965 billion post-money valuation. Its annualized revenue run rate surged from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025 to $47 billion in May and $65 billion by late July, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models and coding agents. Wall Street analysts are pricing the IPO on 2028 revenue forecasts of $190–200 billion, supporting multiples that justify the lofty target and exceed SpaceX’s recent $1.77 trillion debut. With a public filing expected shortly and strong hyperscaler backing, traders see limited risk of missing the high end or delaying past 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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