Christopher Nolan's ambitious adaptation The Odyssey commands an overwhelming 79.5% implied probability in the market because its scale, technical ambition, and the director's proven awards track record position it as the frontrunner for sweeping nominations across craft categories. Dune: Messiah sits at 6.6% on the strength of the franchise's prior Oscar momentum and Denis Villeneuve's consistent critical regard, while Project Hail Mary at 4.1% draws from early critical praise and Ryan Gosling's star power but lacks comparable breadth. Other titles trail far behind with minimal campaign signals. Upcoming fall festival premieres and guild nominations will serve as the next key tests for these early standings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué película obtendrá la mayor cantidad de nominaciones al Oscar en la 99ª edición de los Premios de la Academia?
¿Qué película obtendrá la mayor cantidad de nominaciones al Oscar en la 99ª edición de los Premios de la Academia?
The Odyssey 80%
Dune: Messiah 6.6%
Proyecto Hail Mary 4.1%
Wild Horse Nine <1%
$106,828 Vol.
$106,828 Vol.
28 feb 2027
The Odyssey
80%
Dune: Messiah
7%
Proyecto Hail Mary
4%
Wild Horse Nine
1%
The Social Reckoning
<1%
La Novia!
<1%
Cumbres Borrascosas
<1%
Disclosure Day
<1%
The Odyssey 80%
Dune: Messiah 6.6%
Proyecto Hail Mary 4.1%
Wild Horse Nine <1%
$106,828 Vol.
$106,828 Vol.
28 feb 2027
The Odyssey
$28,811 Vol.
80%
Dune: Messiah
$49,880 Vol.
7%
Proyecto Hail Mary
$7,467 Vol.
4%
Wild Horse Nine
$4,319 Vol.
1%
The Social Reckoning
$3,472 Vol.
<1%
La Novia!
$3,075 Vol.
<1%
Cumbres Borrascosas
$3,190 Vol.
<1%
Disclosure Day
$6,612 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan's ambitious adaptation The Odyssey commands an overwhelming 79.5% implied probability in the market because its scale, technical ambition, and the director's proven awards track record position it as the frontrunner for sweeping nominations across craft categories. Dune: Messiah sits at 6.6% on the strength of the franchise's prior Oscar momentum and Denis Villeneuve's consistent critical regard, while Project Hail Mary at 4.1% draws from early critical praise and Ryan Gosling's star power but lacks comparable breadth. Other titles trail far behind with minimal campaign signals. Upcoming fall festival premieres and guild nominations will serve as the next key tests for these early standings.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volumen
$106,828Fecha de finalización
28 feb 2027Mercado abierto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan's ambitious adaptation The Odyssey commands an overwhelming 79.5% implied probability in the market because its scale, technical ambition, and the director's proven awards track record position it as the frontrunner for sweeping nominations across craft categories. Dune: Messiah sits at 6.6% on the strength of the franchise's prior Oscar momentum and Denis Villeneuve's consistent critical regard, while Project Hail Mary at 4.1% draws from early critical praise and Ryan Gosling's star power but lacks comparable breadth. Other titles trail far behind with minimal campaign signals. Upcoming fall festival premieres and guild nominations will serve as the next key tests for these early standings.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$106,828Fecha de finalización
28 feb 2027Mercado abierto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christopher Nolan's ambitious adaptation The Odyssey commands an overwhelming 79.5% implied probability in the market because its scale, technical ambition, and the director's proven awards track record position it as the frontrunner for sweeping nominations across craft categories. Dune: Messiah sits at 6.6% on the strength of the franchise's prior Oscar momentum and Denis Villeneuve's consistent critical regard, while Project Hail Mary at 4.1% draws from early critical praise and Ryan Gosling's star power but lacks comparable breadth. Other titles trail far behind with minimal campaign signals. Upcoming fall festival premieres and guild nominations will serve as the next key tests for these early standings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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