Recent Friday performance of just $3 million from 3,330 theaters, following weak $850K Thursday previews, has driven Polymarket traders to heavily favor a sub-$8 million domestic opening weekend for the Ridley Scott-directed post-apocalyptic thriller. Mixed-to-poor critical reception, with Rotten Tomatoes scores near 40% and a C+ CinemaScore, combined with competition from the dominant Spider-Man: Brand New Day holdover and better-reviewed Coyote vs. Acme, prompted sharp downward revisions from earlier $10–14 million or higher forecasts. This momentum aligns with the market's 70.6% implied probability on under $8 million, reflecting limited presales and audience awareness for the Jacob Elordi–led 20th Century Studios release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTaquilla del fin de semana de apertura de "The Dog Stars"
<8 millones 70.6%
8-9 millones 26.1%
9-10 millones 1.4%
10-11 millones <1%
$40,618 Vol.
$40,618 Vol.
<8 millones
71%
8-9 millones
26%
9-10 millones
1%
10-11 millones
<1%
11-12 millones
<1%
12 millones o más
<1%
<8 millones 70.6%
8-9 millones 26.1%
9-10 millones 1.4%
10-11 millones <1%
$40,618 Vol.
$40,618 Vol.
<8 millones
71%
8-9 millones
26%
9-10 millones
1%
10-11 millones
<1%
11-12 millones
<1%
12 millones o más
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Aug 26, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Friday performance of just $3 million from 3,330 theaters, following weak $850K Thursday previews, has driven Polymarket traders to heavily favor a sub-$8 million domestic opening weekend for the Ridley Scott-directed post-apocalyptic thriller. Mixed-to-poor critical reception, with Rotten Tomatoes scores near 40% and a C+ CinemaScore, combined with competition from the dominant Spider-Man: Brand New Day holdover and better-reviewed Coyote vs. Acme, prompted sharp downward revisions from earlier $10–14 million or higher forecasts. This momentum aligns with the market's 70.6% implied probability on under $8 million, reflecting limited presales and audience awareness for the Jacob Elordi–led 20th Century Studios release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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