Strong theatrical legs and record-breaking early momentum for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*—including the second-biggest domestic opening ever at $360 million and fastest climb past $800 million—have positioned the Tom Holland-Zendaya tentpole for a potential $900 million-plus domestic finish. Yet the 42% market-implied probability on the 940-950 million band versus 36.5% on sub-940 million reflects tightening weekly holds amid typical late-summer declines, competition from new releases, and the remaining four weeks to the September 30 resolution. Precedent for superhero legs and current per-theater averages suggest the outcome hinges on Labor Day and September performance rather than any single swing factor.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total bruto interno para el 30 de septiembre?
¿"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total bruto interno para el 30 de septiembre?
940 - 950 millones 42%
<940m 36%
950 - 960 millones 15%
970 millones+ 3.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 sep 2026
<940m
36%
940 - 950 millones
42%
950 - 960 millones
15%
960 - 970 millones
3%
970 millones+
3%
940 - 950 millones 42%
<940m 36%
950 - 960 millones 15%
970 millones+ 3.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 sep 2026
<940m
$3,889 Vol.
36%
940 - 950 millones
$1,453 Vol.
42%
950 - 960 millones
$1,638 Vol.
15%
960 - 970 millones
$290 Vol.
3%
970 millones+
$1,204 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong theatrical legs and record-breaking early momentum for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*—including the second-biggest domestic opening ever at $360 million and fastest climb past $800 million—have positioned the Tom Holland-Zendaya tentpole for a potential $900 million-plus domestic finish. Yet the 42% market-implied probability on the 940-950 million band versus 36.5% on sub-940 million reflects tightening weekly holds amid typical late-summer declines, competition from new releases, and the remaining four weeks to the September 30 resolution. Precedent for superhero legs and current per-theater averages suggest the outcome hinges on Labor Day and September performance rather than any single swing factor.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Aug 26, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volumen
$8,474Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong theatrical legs and record-breaking early momentum for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*—including the second-biggest domestic opening ever at $360 million and fastest climb past $800 million—have positioned the Tom Holland-Zendaya tentpole for a potential $900 million-plus domestic finish. Yet the 42% market-implied probability on the 940-950 million band versus 36.5% on sub-940 million reflects tightening weekly holds amid typical late-summer declines, competition from new releases, and the remaining four weeks to the September 30 resolution. Precedent for superhero legs and current per-theater averages suggest the outcome hinges on Labor Day and September performance rather than any single swing factor.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$8,474Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong theatrical legs and record-breaking early momentum for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*—including the second-biggest domestic opening ever at $360 million and fastest climb past $800 million—have positioned the Tom Holland-Zendaya tentpole for a potential $900 million-plus domestic finish. Yet the 42% market-implied probability on the 940-950 million band versus 36.5% on sub-940 million reflects tightening weekly holds amid typical late-summer declines, competition from new releases, and the remaining four weeks to the September 30 resolution. Precedent for superhero legs and current per-theater averages suggest the outcome hinges on Labor Day and September performance rather than any single swing factor.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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