Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor of Piauí seeking re-election, maintains a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, gubernatorial race, reflected in trader pricing. Multiple polls from June through late August 2026, including those by AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Instituto Amostragem, show him capturing 56-73% of valid votes, well above the 50% threshold for a first-round victory, while main challenger Joel Rodrigues (PP) trails at 20-25% and remaining candidates register under 2%. Fonteles benefits from approval ratings of 67-72%, driven by policy delivery in areas such as education expansion, alongside a broad coalition formalized in July conventions. These patterns of sustained polling strength and institutional support underpin the market's assessment of his position, though late developments such as unforeseen scandals or national political shifts could still alter dynamics before voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRafael Fonteles 98.6%
Lourdes Melo <1%
Santiago Belizário <1%
Profesor Gisvaldo <1%
$43,919 Vol.
$43,919 Vol.
Rafael Fonteles
99%
Lourdes Melo
<1%
Santiago Belizário
<1%
Profesor Gisvaldo
<1%
Dra. Lúcia Santos
<1%
Elizeu Aguiar
<1%
Geraldo Carvalho
<1%
Gustavo Feijó
<1%
Joel Rodrigues
<1%
Profesor Jurity
<1%
Ravenna da Inclusão
<1%
Rafael Fonteles 98.6%
Lourdes Melo <1%
Santiago Belizário <1%
Profesor Gisvaldo <1%
$43,919 Vol.
$43,919 Vol.
Rafael Fonteles
99%
Lourdes Melo
<1%
Santiago Belizário
<1%
Profesor Gisvaldo
<1%
Dra. Lúcia Santos
<1%
Elizeu Aguiar
<1%
Geraldo Carvalho
<1%
Gustavo Feijó
<1%
Joel Rodrigues
<1%
Profesor Jurity
<1%
Ravenna da Inclusão
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor of Piauí seeking re-election, maintains a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, gubernatorial race, reflected in trader pricing. Multiple polls from June through late August 2026, including those by AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Instituto Amostragem, show him capturing 56-73% of valid votes, well above the 50% threshold for a first-round victory, while main challenger Joel Rodrigues (PP) trails at 20-25% and remaining candidates register under 2%. Fonteles benefits from approval ratings of 67-72%, driven by policy delivery in areas such as education expansion, alongside a broad coalition formalized in July conventions. These patterns of sustained polling strength and institutional support underpin the market's assessment of his position, though late developments such as unforeseen scandals or national political shifts could still alter dynamics before voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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