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icon for Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar

icon for Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar

Reinaldo Azambuja 84%

Capitão Contar 14%

Luiz Lemes 1.1%

Daniel Junior <1%

Polymarket

$17,290 Vol.

Reinaldo Azambuja 84%

Capitão Contar 14%

Luiz Lemes 1.1%

Daniel Junior <1%

Polymarket

$17,290 Vol.

icon for Reinaldo Azambuja

Reinaldo Azambuja

$10,211 Vol.

84%

icon for Capitão Contar

Capitão Contar

$2,487 Vol.

14%

icon for Luiz Lemes

Luiz Lemes

$591 Vol.

1%

icon for Daniel Junior

Daniel Junior

$463 Vol.

1%

icon for Valderi Garcia

Valderi Garcia

$570 Vol.

1%

icon for Valter da Comagran

Valter da Comagran

$638 Vol.

1%

icon for Roberto Oshiro

Roberto Oshiro

$634 Vol.

<1%

icon for Beto do Movimento

Beto do Movimento

$576 Vol.

<1%

icon for Soraya

Soraya

$571 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vander Loubet

Vander Loubet

$550 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) holds the strongest position for first place in the October 4, 2026, Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election, backed by consistent polling leads of 22-30% in combined vote intention surveys from Quaest, Ibrape, and others conducted in August. His candidacy benefits from an intra-party alliance with Capitão Contar (PL), name recognition from two prior terms as governor, and a rural-agribusiness base in the state, reinforced by Nelsinho Trad serving as his alternate after withdrawing his own bid. Other registered candidates, including Soraya Thronicke (PSB), Vander Loubet (PT), and lower-polling names such as Roberto Oshiro and Beto do Movimento, trail significantly and face fragmented opposition support. Trader pricing reflects these structural advantages and recent survey trends while accounting for the two-seat system and potential late shifts in voter preferences.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$17,290
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) holds the strongest position for first place in the October 4, 2026, Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election, backed by consistent polling leads of 22-30% in combined vote intention surveys from Quaest, Ibrape, and others conducted in August. His candidacy benefits from an intra-party alliance with Capitão Contar (PL), name recognition from two prior terms as governor, and a rural-agribusiness base in the state, reinforced by Nelsinho Trad serving as his alternate after withdrawing his own bid. Other registered candidates, including Soraya Thronicke (PSB), Vander Loubet (PT), and lower-polling names such as Roberto Oshiro and Beto do Movimento, trail significantly and face fragmented opposition support. Trader pricing reflects these structural advantages and recent survey trends while accounting for the two-seat system and potential late shifts in voter preferences.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$17,290
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Relacionado

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Reinaldo Azambuja" con 84%, seguido de "Capitão Contar" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 84¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar" ha generado $17.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 17, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar" es "Reinaldo Azambuja" con 84%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Capitão Contar" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.