Forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting international models indicates a Tokyo minimum temperature of 24–25°C on August 23, 2026, establishing the strong market-implied probability for 25°C. This positioning rests on consistent guidance showing overnight lows near or slightly above the seasonal baseline of 23°C, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Recent model runs exhibit tight agreement with only modest spread tied to exact cloud cover timing. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler maritime air or faster clearing that allows greater heat loss, though current observations and ensemble outputs make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Tokio el 23 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Tokio el 23 de agosto?
25°C 98.8%
24°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 98.8%
24°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
20°C or below
$393 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$781 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$811 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,667 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,688 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,895 Vol.
99%
26°C
$1,122 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$312 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$229 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$244 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting international models indicates a Tokyo minimum temperature of 24–25°C on August 23, 2026, establishing the strong market-implied probability for 25°C. This positioning rests on consistent guidance showing overnight lows near or slightly above the seasonal baseline of 23°C, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Recent model runs exhibit tight agreement with only modest spread tied to exact cloud cover timing. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler maritime air or faster clearing that allows greater heat loss, though current observations and ensemble outputs make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$9,387Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting international models indicates a Tokyo minimum temperature of 24–25°C on August 23, 2026, establishing the strong market-implied probability for 25°C. This positioning rests on consistent guidance showing overnight lows near or slightly above the seasonal baseline of 23°C, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Recent model runs exhibit tight agreement with only modest spread tied to exact cloud cover timing. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler maritime air or faster clearing that allows greater heat loss, though current observations and ensemble outputs make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,387Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting international models indicates a Tokyo minimum temperature of 24–25°C on August 23, 2026, establishing the strong market-implied probability for 25°C. This positioning rests on consistent guidance showing overnight lows near or slightly above the seasonal baseline of 23°C, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under partly cloudy conditions. Recent model runs exhibit tight agreement with only modest spread tied to exact cloud cover timing. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler maritime air or faster clearing that allows greater heat loss, though current observations and ensemble outputs make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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