Recent forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service highlight persistently warm nights across the island in the second half of August, with minimum temperatures frequently remaining above 27°C amid below-average rainfall and developing El Niño conditions that suppress cloud cover and moisture over the Maritime Continent. Short-term model guidance points to light winds and limited thundery activity on August 24, reducing nocturnal cooling potential in the urban environment. These factors explain the market's tight clustering around 26–28°C outcomes, as traders weigh historical August minima near 25°C against current signals favoring slightly elevated lows; any unexpected increase in overnight showers or stronger monsoon flow could shift probabilities toward the lower tail.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Singapur el 24 de agosto?
28°C 37%
26°C 21%
27°C 20%
25°C 18%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
18%
26°C
21%
27°C
20%
28°C
26%
29°C
16%
30°C
14%
31°C or higher
2%
28°C 37%
26°C 21%
27°C 20%
25°C 18%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
18%
26°C
21%
27°C
20%
28°C
26%
29°C
16%
30°C
14%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service highlight persistently warm nights across the island in the second half of August, with minimum temperatures frequently remaining above 27°C amid below-average rainfall and developing El Niño conditions that suppress cloud cover and moisture over the Maritime Continent. Short-term model guidance points to light winds and limited thundery activity on August 24, reducing nocturnal cooling potential in the urban environment. These factors explain the market's tight clustering around 26–28°C outcomes, as traders weigh historical August minima near 25°C against current signals favoring slightly elevated lows; any unexpected increase in overnight showers or stronger monsoon flow could shift probabilities toward the lower tail.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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