Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Seoul-Incheon overnight into September 6, promoting radiative cooling under high pressure. These conditions typically produce minimum temperatures near 19°C at Incheon International Airport, consistent with climatological baselines for early September. Trader consensus, reflected in the 45% implied probability for 20°C and 36.5% for 21°C, appears to incorporate model spread and potential for slight warming from residual daytime heat or minor cloud variations. Official resolution will hinge on the verified 24-hour low reported by KMA, with the next model updates expected overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 6 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 6 de septiembre?
20°C 45%
21°C 34%
19°C 12%
18°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
14°C o menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
6%
19°C
12%
20°C
45%
21°C
34%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
20°C 45%
21°C 34%
19°C 12%
18°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
14°C o menos
$74 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$180 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$160 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$290 Vol.
6%
19°C
$349 Vol.
12%
20°C
$867 Vol.
45%
21°C
$1,358 Vol.
34%
22°C
$169 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
24°C o más
$180 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Seoul-Incheon overnight into September 6, promoting radiative cooling under high pressure. These conditions typically produce minimum temperatures near 19°C at Incheon International Airport, consistent with climatological baselines for early September. Trader consensus, reflected in the 45% implied probability for 20°C and 36.5% for 21°C, appears to incorporate model spread and potential for slight warming from residual daytime heat or minor cloud variations. Official resolution will hinge on the verified 24-hour low reported by KMA, with the next model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$3,932Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Seoul-Incheon overnight into September 6, promoting radiative cooling under high pressure. These conditions typically produce minimum temperatures near 19°C at Incheon International Airport, consistent with climatological baselines for early September. Trader consensus, reflected in the 45% implied probability for 20°C and 36.5% for 21°C, appears to incorporate model spread and potential for slight warming from residual daytime heat or minor cloud variations. Official resolution will hinge on the verified 24-hour low reported by KMA, with the next model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,932Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Seoul-Incheon overnight into September 6, promoting radiative cooling under high pressure. These conditions typically produce minimum temperatures near 19°C at Incheon International Airport, consistent with climatological baselines for early September. Trader consensus, reflected in the 45% implied probability for 20°C and 36.5% for 21°C, appears to incorporate model spread and potential for slight warming from residual daytime heat or minor cloud variations. Official resolution will hinge on the verified 24-hour low reported by KMA, with the next model updates expected overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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