Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 18–19°C for Incheon on September 20, driven by clear skies overnight, light northeasterly winds, and moderate radiative cooling under stable high pressure. These conditions support efficient heat loss without significant cloud cover or frontal activity to moderate temperatures. Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus, assigning the highest probabilities to 19°C and 18°C while discounting colder outliers below 17°C or warmer readings above 20°C that would require unexpected moisture or wind shifts. Updated model runs through mid-September have shown little deviation, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the narrow 17–19°C band ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 20 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 20 de septiembre?
19°C 48%
18°C 35%
20°C 19%
17°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
12°C o menos
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
10%
17°C
14%
18°C
35%
19°C
48%
20°C
19%
21°C
5%
22°C o superior
4%
19°C 48%
18°C 35%
20°C 19%
17°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
12°C o menos
$0 Vol.
2%
13°C
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$0 Vol.
5%
15°C
$0 Vol.
7%
16°C
$0 Vol.
10%
17°C
$69 Vol.
14%
18°C
$373 Vol.
35%
19°C
$124 Vol.
48%
20°C
$0 Vol.
19%
21°C
$0 Vol.
5%
22°C o superior
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 18–19°C for Incheon on September 20, driven by clear skies overnight, light northeasterly winds, and moderate radiative cooling under stable high pressure. These conditions support efficient heat loss without significant cloud cover or frontal activity to moderate temperatures. Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus, assigning the highest probabilities to 19°C and 18°C while discounting colder outliers below 17°C or warmer readings above 20°C that would require unexpected moisture or wind shifts. Updated model runs through mid-September have shown little deviation, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the narrow 17–19°C band ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$566Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 18–19°C for Incheon on September 20, driven by clear skies overnight, light northeasterly winds, and moderate radiative cooling under stable high pressure. These conditions support efficient heat loss without significant cloud cover or frontal activity to moderate temperatures. Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus, assigning the highest probabilities to 19°C and 18°C while discounting colder outliers below 17°C or warmer readings above 20°C that would require unexpected moisture or wind shifts. Updated model runs through mid-September have shown little deviation, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the narrow 17–19°C band ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$566Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 18–19°C for Incheon on September 20, driven by clear skies overnight, light northeasterly winds, and moderate radiative cooling under stable high pressure. These conditions support efficient heat loss without significant cloud cover or frontal activity to moderate temperatures. Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus, assigning the highest probabilities to 19°C and 18°C while discounting colder outliers below 17°C or warmer readings above 20°C that would require unexpected moisture or wind shifts. Updated model runs through mid-September have shown little deviation, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the narrow 17–19°C band ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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