Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a stable overnight low of 19°C for Seoul-Incheon on September 18, driving the market’s 98% implied probability on that outcome. Mid-September climatology for the region typically features moderating temperatures after summer monsoon retreat, with recent surface observations and upper-air soundings showing limited cold-air advection or cloud cover to suppress minima further. Official resolution will hinge on the final recorded low at the Incheon station, measured to the nearest degree. A late-arriving frontal system or localized radiative cooling under clearer skies could shift the reading by 1–2°C, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such deviation before midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 18 de septiembre?
19°C 98%
17°C 1.9%
18°C <1%
15°C o menos <1%
$11,482 Vol.
$11,482 Vol.
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
98%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o más
<1%
19°C 98%
17°C 1.9%
18°C <1%
15°C o menos <1%
$11,482 Vol.
$11,482 Vol.
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
98%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a stable overnight low of 19°C for Seoul-Incheon on September 18, driving the market’s 98% implied probability on that outcome. Mid-September climatology for the region typically features moderating temperatures after summer monsoon retreat, with recent surface observations and upper-air soundings showing limited cold-air advection or cloud cover to suppress minima further. Official resolution will hinge on the final recorded low at the Incheon station, measured to the nearest degree. A late-arriving frontal system or localized radiative cooling under clearer skies could shift the reading by 1–2°C, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such deviation before midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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