Current atmospheric conditions over southern China, including a subtropical ridge and limited cloud cover with only 25-36% precipitation odds, are supporting daytime heating in Guangzhou well above the late-September climatological average high of 31.8°C. Official forecasts and hourly observations point to a peak near 34-35°C under light easterly winds and high humidity, consistent with recent model consensus from sources tracking regional temperatures. Trader positioning favoring 36°C or 37°C reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of potential upward revisions from urban heat effects or slightly warmer model runs, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the established warm pattern and absence of significant cooling influences through the afternoon measurement window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 18 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 18 de septiembre?
36°C 67%
37°C 26%
38°C o más 1.6%
28°C o menos <1%
$43,490 Vol.
$43,490 Vol.
18 sep 2026
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
74%
37°C
26%
38°C o más
2%
36°C 67%
37°C 26%
38°C o más 1.6%
28°C o menos <1%
$43,490 Vol.
$43,490 Vol.
18 sep 2026
28°C o menos
$1,952 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$662 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$644 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,909 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,681 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5,401 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$9,066 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$8,512 Vol.
74%
37°C
$5,170 Vol.
26%
38°C o más
$7,344 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions over southern China, including a subtropical ridge and limited cloud cover with only 25-36% precipitation odds, are supporting daytime heating in Guangzhou well above the late-September climatological average high of 31.8°C. Official forecasts and hourly observations point to a peak near 34-35°C under light easterly winds and high humidity, consistent with recent model consensus from sources tracking regional temperatures. Trader positioning favoring 36°C or 37°C reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of potential upward revisions from urban heat effects or slightly warmer model runs, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the established warm pattern and absence of significant cooling influences through the afternoon measurement window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$43,490Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions over southern China, including a subtropical ridge and limited cloud cover with only 25-36% precipitation odds, are supporting daytime heating in Guangzhou well above the late-September climatological average high of 31.8°C. Official forecasts and hourly observations point to a peak near 34-35°C under light easterly winds and high humidity, consistent with recent model consensus from sources tracking regional temperatures. Trader positioning favoring 36°C or 37°C reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of potential upward revisions from urban heat effects or slightly warmer model runs, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the established warm pattern and absence of significant cooling influences through the afternoon measurement window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$43,490Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current atmospheric conditions over southern China, including a subtropical ridge and limited cloud cover with only 25-36% precipitation odds, are supporting daytime heating in Guangzhou well above the late-September climatological average high of 31.8°C. Official forecasts and hourly observations point to a peak near 34-35°C under light easterly winds and high humidity, consistent with recent model consensus from sources tracking regional temperatures. Trader positioning favoring 36°C or 37°C reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of potential upward revisions from urban heat effects or slightly warmer model runs, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the established warm pattern and absence of significant cooling influences through the afternoon measurement window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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