Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for San Francisco on September 19 points to a minimum near 57–58°F under continued onshore flow and a persistent marine layer, which strongly supports the market’s leading 58–59°F bin. Typical September climatology shows average lows of 55–56°F at downtown and airport stations, but recent days have featured upper-50s readings amid mild westerly winds and limited radiational cooling. No significant synoptic shift—such as offshore flow or clear-sky amplification—is indicated before the overnight period, keeping probabilities for sub-56°F or 60°F-plus outcomes low. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the primary near-term signals for any revision.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en San Francisco el 19 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en San Francisco el 19 de septiembre?
58-59°F 65%
62-63°F 39%
56-57°F 35%
60-61°F 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 sep 2026
51°F o menos
5%
52-53°F
7%
54-55°F
7%
56-57°F
24%
58-59°F
43%
60-61°F
21%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
5%
70°F o más
5%
58-59°F 65%
62-63°F 39%
56-57°F 35%
60-61°F 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 sep 2026
51°F o menos
$0 Vol.
5%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
7%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
7%
56-57°F
$16 Vol.
24%
58-59°F
$102 Vol.
43%
60-61°F
$160 Vol.
21%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
39%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
11%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
5%
70°F o más
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for San Francisco on September 19 points to a minimum near 57–58°F under continued onshore flow and a persistent marine layer, which strongly supports the market’s leading 58–59°F bin. Typical September climatology shows average lows of 55–56°F at downtown and airport stations, but recent days have featured upper-50s readings amid mild westerly winds and limited radiational cooling. No significant synoptic shift—such as offshore flow or clear-sky amplification—is indicated before the overnight period, keeping probabilities for sub-56°F or 60°F-plus outcomes low. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the primary near-term signals for any revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volumen
$278Fecha de finalización
19 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for San Francisco on September 19 points to a minimum near 57–58°F under continued onshore flow and a persistent marine layer, which strongly supports the market’s leading 58–59°F bin. Typical September climatology shows average lows of 55–56°F at downtown and airport stations, but recent days have featured upper-50s readings amid mild westerly winds and limited radiational cooling. No significant synoptic shift—such as offshore flow or clear-sky amplification—is indicated before the overnight period, keeping probabilities for sub-56°F or 60°F-plus outcomes low. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the primary near-term signals for any revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$278Fecha de finalización
19 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for San Francisco on September 19 points to a minimum near 57–58°F under continued onshore flow and a persistent marine layer, which strongly supports the market’s leading 58–59°F bin. Typical September climatology shows average lows of 55–56°F at downtown and airport stations, but recent days have featured upper-50s readings amid mild westerly winds and limited radiational cooling. No significant synoptic shift—such as offshore flow or clear-sky amplification—is indicated before the overnight period, keeping probabilities for sub-56°F or 60°F-plus outcomes low. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the primary near-term signals for any revision.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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