Recent official forecasts from sources including Yandex Weather and the Met Office indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 20 will likely fall between 12–14°C, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow, light winds around 2–4 m/s, and variable cloud cover that limits strong overnight radiative cooling. Model consensus supports daytime highs near 19–20°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk, consistent with a mild early-autumn pattern. This narrow expected range explains the balanced market-implied odds between lower and higher thresholds, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind could alter the precise minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 20 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 20 de septiembre?
5°C o menos 95%
15°C o más 94%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
5°C o menos
95%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
21%
10°C
27%
11°C
30%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C o más
94%
5°C o menos 95%
15°C o más 94%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
5°C o menos
$0 Vol.
95%
6°C
$0 Vol.
40%
7°C
$0 Vol.
40%
8°C
$0 Vol.
40%
9°C
$0 Vol.
21%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
30%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C o más
$0 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including Yandex Weather and the Met Office indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 20 will likely fall between 12–14°C, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow, light winds around 2–4 m/s, and variable cloud cover that limits strong overnight radiative cooling. Model consensus supports daytime highs near 19–20°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk, consistent with a mild early-autumn pattern. This narrow expected range explains the balanced market-implied odds between lower and higher thresholds, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind could alter the precise minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including Yandex Weather and the Met Office indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 20 will likely fall between 12–14°C, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow, light winds around 2–4 m/s, and variable cloud cover that limits strong overnight radiative cooling. Model consensus supports daytime highs near 19–20°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk, consistent with a mild early-autumn pattern. This narrow expected range explains the balanced market-implied odds between lower and higher thresholds, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind could alter the precise minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including Yandex Weather and the Met Office indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 20 will likely fall between 12–14°C, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow, light winds around 2–4 m/s, and variable cloud cover that limits strong overnight radiative cooling. Model consensus supports daytime highs near 19–20°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk, consistent with a mild early-autumn pattern. This narrow expected range explains the balanced market-implied odds between lower and higher thresholds, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind could alter the precise minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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