Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Paris overnight lows on September 14 will likely settle near 15–17°C, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. With dew points around 15°C and minimal cloud cover overnight, surface temperatures are expected to dip close to the seasonal norm before daytime warming. Trader consensus has converged on 15°C and 16°C outcomes because recent model runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and no incoming frontal systems to moderate the minimum. Historical September averages near 11.6°C provide context, yet current warmer air masses support the elevated probabilities for these thresholds ahead of final verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 14 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 14 de septiembre?
15°C 41%
16°C 35%
12°C o menos 11%
18°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
12°C o menos
11%
13°C
3%
14°C
9%
15°C
41%
16°C
35%
17°C
10%
18°C
11%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C o más
2%
15°C 41%
16°C 35%
12°C o menos 11%
18°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 sep 2026
12°C o menos
$0 Vol.
11%
13°C
$0 Vol.
3%
14°C
$41 Vol.
9%
15°C
$837 Vol.
41%
16°C
$531 Vol.
35%
17°C
$472 Vol.
10%
18°C
$62 Vol.
11%
19°C
$42 Vol.
6%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C o más
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Paris overnight lows on September 14 will likely settle near 15–17°C, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. With dew points around 15°C and minimal cloud cover overnight, surface temperatures are expected to dip close to the seasonal norm before daytime warming. Trader consensus has converged on 15°C and 16°C outcomes because recent model runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and no incoming frontal systems to moderate the minimum. Historical September averages near 11.6°C provide context, yet current warmer air masses support the elevated probabilities for these thresholds ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$1,986Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Paris overnight lows on September 14 will likely settle near 15–17°C, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. With dew points around 15°C and minimal cloud cover overnight, surface temperatures are expected to dip close to the seasonal norm before daytime warming. Trader consensus has converged on 15°C and 16°C outcomes because recent model runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and no incoming frontal systems to moderate the minimum. Historical September averages near 11.6°C provide context, yet current warmer air masses support the elevated probabilities for these thresholds ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,986Fecha de finalización
14 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Paris overnight lows on September 14 will likely settle near 15–17°C, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. With dew points around 15°C and minimal cloud cover overnight, surface temperatures are expected to dip close to the seasonal norm before daytime warming. Trader consensus has converged on 15°C and 16°C outcomes because recent model runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and no incoming frontal systems to moderate the minimum. Historical September averages near 11.6°C provide context, yet current warmer air masses support the elevated probabilities for these thresholds ahead of final verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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