Forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a minimum around 21–22°C for Paris on August 10 under mostly clear skies and light winds, yet the market's tight clustering at 18–19°C reflects trader emphasis on potential for stronger nocturnal radiative cooling if boundary-layer moisture or subtle cloud cover increases overnight. Differentiating these outcomes hinges on variables such as dew-point depression, which controls how efficiently the surface loses heat after sunset, and any late-day advection of cooler Atlantic air that could lower the daily minimum by 1–2°C. With historical August lows averaging 15–18°C and recent early-month cooldowns showing model spread of several degrees, the near-even 41.5% and 36% probabilities on 19°C and 18°C capture uncertainty ahead of updated evening soundings and the next high-resolution run.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 10 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 10 de agosto?
19°C 42%
18°C 36%
20°C 13%
17°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
16°C o menos
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
36%
19°C
42%
20°C
13%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o más
<1%
19°C 42%
18°C 36%
20°C 13%
17°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
16°C o menos
$62 Vol.
2%
17°C
$112 Vol.
8%
18°C
$110 Vol.
36%
19°C
$484 Vol.
42%
20°C
$37 Vol.
13%
21°C
$135 Vol.
5%
22°C
$70 Vol.
1%
23°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$216 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
26°C o más
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a minimum around 21–22°C for Paris on August 10 under mostly clear skies and light winds, yet the market's tight clustering at 18–19°C reflects trader emphasis on potential for stronger nocturnal radiative cooling if boundary-layer moisture or subtle cloud cover increases overnight. Differentiating these outcomes hinges on variables such as dew-point depression, which controls how efficiently the surface loses heat after sunset, and any late-day advection of cooler Atlantic air that could lower the daily minimum by 1–2°C. With historical August lows averaging 15–18°C and recent early-month cooldowns showing model spread of several degrees, the near-even 41.5% and 36% probabilities on 19°C and 18°C capture uncertainty ahead of updated evening soundings and the next high-resolution run.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$1,543Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a minimum around 21–22°C for Paris on August 10 under mostly clear skies and light winds, yet the market's tight clustering at 18–19°C reflects trader emphasis on potential for stronger nocturnal radiative cooling if boundary-layer moisture or subtle cloud cover increases overnight. Differentiating these outcomes hinges on variables such as dew-point depression, which controls how efficiently the surface loses heat after sunset, and any late-day advection of cooler Atlantic air that could lower the daily minimum by 1–2°C. With historical August lows averaging 15–18°C and recent early-month cooldowns showing model spread of several degrees, the near-even 41.5% and 36% probabilities on 19°C and 18°C capture uncertainty ahead of updated evening soundings and the next high-resolution run.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,543Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a minimum around 21–22°C for Paris on August 10 under mostly clear skies and light winds, yet the market's tight clustering at 18–19°C reflects trader emphasis on potential for stronger nocturnal radiative cooling if boundary-layer moisture or subtle cloud cover increases overnight. Differentiating these outcomes hinges on variables such as dew-point depression, which controls how efficiently the surface loses heat after sunset, and any late-day advection of cooler Atlantic air that could lower the daily minimum by 1–2°C. With historical August lows averaging 15–18°C and recent early-month cooldowns showing model spread of several degrees, the near-even 41.5% and 36% probabilities on 19°C and 18°C capture uncertainty ahead of updated evening soundings and the next high-resolution run.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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