Sunny conditions under a strong high-pressure ridge are driving Seattle's peak temperature toward the low-to-mid 80s°F on August 8, with NWS guidance centering near 84°F. Limited onshore flow from Puget Sound, combined with clear skies and subsidence warming aloft, favors efficient daytime heating, while regional wildfire smoke may slightly suppress insolation and cap extremes. Trader consensus clusters on 80–83°F because model spread in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, and exact smoke optical depth creates genuine uncertainty around whether the mercury reaches the upper threshold. These near-even probabilities reflect the narrow scientific margin between typical August marine moderation and brief ridge-enhanced warmth.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 8 de agosto?
80-81°F 37%
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 12%
$10,731 Vol.
$10,731 Vol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 37%
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 12%
$10,731 Vol.
$10,731 Vol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sunny conditions under a strong high-pressure ridge are driving Seattle's peak temperature toward the low-to-mid 80s°F on August 8, with NWS guidance centering near 84°F. Limited onshore flow from Puget Sound, combined with clear skies and subsidence warming aloft, favors efficient daytime heating, while regional wildfire smoke may slightly suppress insolation and cap extremes. Trader consensus clusters on 80–83°F because model spread in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, and exact smoke optical depth creates genuine uncertainty around whether the mercury reaches the upper threshold. These near-even probabilities reflect the narrow scientific margin between typical August marine moderation and brief ridge-enhanced warmth.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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