Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for September 11, 2026, in New York City centers on an overnight low near 68–70°F, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and limited radiative cooling under a stable air mass following recent above-average warmth. This consensus directly underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F bin (41%), followed by 68–69°F (26.5%) and 72–73°F (24%). Historical September 11 lows average about 63°F, so the projected values sit well above the long-term baseline yet align with the mild early-autumn pattern observed in recent days. Fresh model runs or NWS updates through the overnight period remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 11 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 11 de septiembre?
70-71°F 34%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 24%
66-67°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
61°F o menos
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
34%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
1%
80°F o más
1%
70-71°F 34%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 24%
66-67°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
61°F o menos
$15 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$15 Vol.
3%
64-65°F
$15 Vol.
3%
66-67°F
$75 Vol.
6%
68-69°F
$348 Vol.
24%
70-71°F
$1,620 Vol.
34%
72-73°F
$224 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$88 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$15 Vol.
1%
80°F o más
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for September 11, 2026, in New York City centers on an overnight low near 68–70°F, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and limited radiative cooling under a stable air mass following recent above-average warmth. This consensus directly underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F bin (41%), followed by 68–69°F (26.5%) and 72–73°F (24%). Historical September 11 lows average about 63°F, so the projected values sit well above the long-term baseline yet align with the mild early-autumn pattern observed in recent days. Fresh model runs or NWS updates through the overnight period remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$2,431Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for September 11, 2026, in New York City centers on an overnight low near 68–70°F, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and limited radiative cooling under a stable air mass following recent above-average warmth. This consensus directly underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F bin (41%), followed by 68–69°F (26.5%) and 72–73°F (24%). Historical September 11 lows average about 63°F, so the projected values sit well above the long-term baseline yet align with the mild early-autumn pattern observed in recent days. Fresh model runs or NWS updates through the overnight period remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,431Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for September 11, 2026, in New York City centers on an overnight low near 68–70°F, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and limited radiative cooling under a stable air mass following recent above-average warmth. This consensus directly underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on the 70–71°F bin (41%), followed by 68–69°F (26.5%) and 72–73°F (24%). Historical September 11 lows average about 63°F, so the projected values sit well above the long-term baseline yet align with the mild early-autumn pattern observed in recent days. Fresh model runs or NWS updates through the overnight period remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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